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2449:TWSEKing Yuan Electronics Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

NT$295.50

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

King Yuan Electronics is riding a strong earnings wave, posting 36.6% revenue growth and a 31.5% profit margin while cash balances sit at TWD 17.96 bn. However, the stock trades at a trailing P/E of 45.5 versus an industry average of 33.7, suggesting it is priced for high expectations. The forward P/E of 20.2 and a consensus target median of 350 TWD imply roughly 15% upside from the current 295.5 TWD price. Technically, the price sits below the 20‑day SMA (300.1) but above the 50‑day SMA (280.5), with RSI at a neutral 50.9 and a bearish MACD histogram indicating short‑term momentum weakness. Volume is on a decreasing trend and volatility remains elevated at 62% over the past month, while beta of 0.81 points to lower market‑wide sensitivity. The dividend yield of 1.35% is supported by a 61% payout ratio and strong operating cash flow, making the dividend reasonably sustainable. Overall, the blend of robust fundamentals, modest upside potential, and a cautious technical backdrop frames a nuanced investment case.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD histogram and decreasing volume
  • Price below 20‑day SMA indicating near‑term pullback risk
  • Neutral RSI suggesting limited upside momentum

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue and profit margin expansion
  • Forward earnings estimate double current EPS
  • Target median price offers ~15% upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Secular demand for semiconductor testing services
  • Solid cash generation offsetting high debt levels
  • Sustainable dividend with healthy payout ratio

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth36.60%
Profit Margin31.53%
P/E Ratio45.5
ROE16.83%
ROA5.99%
Debt/Equity65.70
P/B Ratio7.2
Op. Cash FlowNT$13.2B
Free Cash FlowNT$2.0B
Industry P/E33.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI50.9
SupportNT$256.50
ResistanceNT$333.00
MA 20NT$300.13
MA 50NT$280.52
MA 200NT$184.56
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair ValueNT$49.05
Target PriceNT$340.25
Upside/Downside15.14%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.35%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.81
Volatility61.96%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.