2408:TWSEWonik IPS Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time
₩119,000.00
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Wonik IPS is trading at KRW 119,000, essentially aligned with its 20‑day SMA of 119,875, indicating a near‑term price equilibrium. The RSI of 52 suggests neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram remains negative and the signal line is bearish, warning of short‑term downside pressure. Volume is on an increasing trend, supporting the current bullish trend direction despite the bearish MACD. Volatility is exceptionally high at 158% over the past 30 days, and a beta of 0.94 points to market‑neutral sensitivity. The DCF‑derived fair value of KRW 105,329 sits well below the market price, translating to a –3.3% downside outlook. Forward PE of 31.9 is marginally below the industry average of 33.7, hinting at a modest valuation edge.
Revenue growth of 45% and a gross margin of 40% underscore strong top‑line momentum in the semiconductor equipment space. Operating cash flow of KRW 180.8 bn and a free cash flow of KRW 129.6 bn provide ample liquidity to sustain operations and modest dividend payouts. The dividend yield of 0.17% with a payout ratio of just 3% confirms the dividend is highly sustainable. However, the sector’s cyclicality and regulatory exposure in high‑tech manufacturing elevate medium‑level sector and regulatory risks. Geographic concentration in South Korea adds a medium geographic risk, while KRW exposure yields a medium currency risk. Overall, the stock presents a balanced mix of growth drivers and valuation constraints, suggesting a cautious but optimistic outlook.
Revenue growth of 45% and a gross margin of 40% underscore strong top‑line momentum in the semiconductor equipment space. Operating cash flow of KRW 180.8 bn and a free cash flow of KRW 129.6 bn provide ample liquidity to sustain operations and modest dividend payouts. The dividend yield of 0.17% with a payout ratio of just 3% confirms the dividend is highly sustainable. However, the sector’s cyclicality and regulatory exposure in high‑tech manufacturing elevate medium‑level sector and regulatory risks. Geographic concentration in South Korea adds a medium geographic risk, while KRW exposure yields a medium currency risk. Overall, the stock presents a balanced mix of growth drivers and valuation constraints, suggesting a cautious but optimistic outlook.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD signal
- Negative DCF valuation gap
- Elevated short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth (45%)
- Forward PE below industry
- Increasing volume supporting bullish trend
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Sustained dividend sustainability
- Long‑term demand for semiconductor equipment
- Moderate valuation relative to growth prospects
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth45.40%
Profit Margin8.49%
P/E Ratio31.9
ROE8.81%
ROA4.41%
Debt/Equity0.74
Op. Cash Flow₩180.8B
Free Cash Flow₩129.6B
Industry P/E33.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI52.2
Support₩101,200.00
Resistance₩143,000.00
MA 20₩119,875.00
MA 50₩99,842.00
MA 200₩57,587.50
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Fair Value₩105,329.14
Target Price₩115,071.43
Upside/Downside-3.30%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.17%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.94
Volatility158.39%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.