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2303:TWSEUnited Microelectronics Corp. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

¥2,780.00

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

At the close of trading the stock sits at ¥2,780, just below the DCF‑derived fair value of ¥2,796, suggesting a modest upside. The 20‑day SMA (¥2,627) and 50‑day SMA (¥2,635) sit beneath the current price, reinforcing a short‑term uptrend. The MACD histogram (+18) is strongly positive with a bullish signal, and the RSI at 61 signals continued momentum without extreme overbought conditions. The price is testing the nearby resistance around ¥2,785 while remaining comfortably above the identified support at ¥2,502, offering a clear technical range. Volume has been stable, and the beta of 0.33 indicates limited sensitivity to broader market swings.
On the fundamentals side, Dawn Corp. posted a 22.8% revenue surge and boasts a robust gross margin of 66.7% and operating margin of 36.8%, underscoring a high‑quality earnings engine. With zero debt, a cash pile exceeding ¥1.56 bn and a low payout ratio of 17%, the dividend yield of 0.97% appears sustainable. The trailing P/E of 19.7 is well below the industry average of 36.9, positioning the stock as potentially undervalued relative to peers. The ROE of 15.8% and ROA of 12.3% reflect efficient capital deployment, while the free cash flow of ¥197 m supports ongoing growth initiatives. Although the 30‑day volatility 38% is elevated, the combination of strong cash generation, low leverage, and modest beta points to a relatively low overall risk profile.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price testing resistance near ¥2,785
  • bullish MACD histogram
  • moderate 30‑day volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • valuation gap versus industry P/E
  • strong cash generation and zero debt
  • sustainable dividend with low payout ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • high margins and double‑digit revenue growth
  • robust balance sheet and free cash flow
  • low beta and defensive profile in a tech niche

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth22.80%
Profit Margin25.83%
P/E Ratio19.7
ROE15.77%
ROA12.29%
P/B Ratio3.0
Op. Cash Flow¥390.0M
Free Cash Flow¥197.1M
Industry P/E36.9

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI61.0
Support¥2,502.00
Resistance¥2,785.00
MA 20¥2,627.55
MA 50¥2,634.74
MA 200¥2,463.15
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index75.95

Valuation

Fair Value¥2,796.05
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.97%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.33
Volatility38.56%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.