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2222:TSEKotobuki Spirits Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time

SAR 27.06

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Saudi Arabian Oil Company (2222.SR) is trading at SAR 27.06, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 26.24 and 50‑day SMA of 25.53, indicating a sustained bullish momentum. The RSI of 61 and a bullish MACD histogram (+0.066) reinforce the upward trend, while the price sits near the resistance level of SAR 27.48 with support at SAR 24.70. Valuation metrics show a trailing P/E of 17.9 versus an industry average of 22.3, suggesting the stock is priced below peers, though the DCF fair value of SAR 21.60 implies a modest premium of about 4.4% over intrinsic value. The company delivers a robust dividend yield of 5.01% with a payout ratio of 86%, supported by strong operating cash flow (SAR 510.8B) and free cash flow (SAR 390.7B).
Fundamentally, the firm maintains healthy margins (gross 55.7%, operating 42.7%) and a solid ROE of 20.8%, while its low beta (0.05) points to minimal market‑related volatility despite a 30‑day price volatility of 22.7%. Debt levels are manageable given ample cash reserves, and the sector’s high dividend appeal is complemented by the company’s integrated upstream‑downstream model. Overall, technical strength, attractive yield, and relative valuation advantage make the stock a compelling candidate for investors across horizons.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technical indicators (price above SMAs, RSI 61, MACD bullish)
  • High dividend yield of 5% with strong cash flow coverage
  • Support level at SAR 24.70 providing downside cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Valuation near fair value with modest upside (~4%)
  • Stable earnings and margins despite modest revenue decline
  • Low market beta reducing exposure to broader equity swings

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Integrated upstream‑downstream business ensures diversified cash streams
  • Attractive dividend yield and consistent payout sustainability
  • Strategic position in the global oil market with long‑term demand outlook

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-2.90%
Profit Margin20.83%
P/E Ratio17.9
ROE20.76%
ROA18.55%
Debt/Equity21.12
P/B Ratio4.4
Op. Cash FlowSAR510.8B
Free Cash FlowSAR390.7B
Industry P/E22.3

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI61.0
SupportSAR 24.70
ResistanceSAR 27.48
MA 20SAR 26.24
MA 50SAR 25.53
MA 200SAR 24.78
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index79.45

Valuation

Fair ValueSAR 21.60
Target PriceSAR 28.26
Upside/Downside4.44%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.01%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.05
Volatility22.75%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.