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200625:SZSEChongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-22 - not real-time

HK$3.39

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Chongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited trades at HKD 3.39, with its moving averages tangled rather than clearly stacked — a neutral trend structure. It has gained 5.3% over the past 30 days. With RSI at 50.6 the momentum picture is neutral, alongside a bearish MACD signal. Price has been bracketed by support at HKD 3.31 and resistance at HKD 3.64.
Valuation screens as undervalued, on a P/E of 9.4 with no clean sector comparison available. Analyst price targets sit 4.7% above the current price. Revenue is contracting at 4.3% on a 1.9% profit margin. The 15.06% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
Risk comes out at 6 of a possible 10, a elevated reading. With 30-day volatility of 32.4%, a beta of 0.06 and a maximum drawdown of 37.7%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to hold, carrying 1/10 conviction.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Trading below the 200-day average of 3.87
  • MACD momentum is negative
  • 30-day price change of +5.3%

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • Dividend yield of 15.06% looks stretched against payout coverage
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 3.87
  • MACD momentum is negative

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 1/10

Key Factors

  • Dividend yield of 15.06% looks stretched against payout coverage
  • Revenue contracting at -4.3%
  • Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-4.30%
Profit Margin1.89%
P/E Ratio9.4
ROE2.68%
ROA0.39%
Debt/Equity1.59
P/B Ratio0.4
Op. Cash FlowHK$-6310947840
Free Cash FlowHK$-15760020480

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI50.6
SupportHK$3.31
ResistanceHK$3.64
MA 20HK$3.44
MA 50HK$3.34
MA 200HK$3.87
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.41

Valuation

Target PriceHK$3.55
Upside/Downside4.70%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield15.06%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.06
Volatility32.41%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.