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2002:TWSETELCON RF PHARMACEUTICAL. Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-11 - not real-time

₩758.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

TELCON RF PHARMACEUTICAL is trading well below its short‑, medium‑, and long‑term moving averages, signaling a pronounced bearish price trend. The RSI has slipped below the 40 threshold, hinting at oversold conditions, while the MACD remains in a bearish configuration with a negative histogram. Support sits near 685 KRW and resistance near 945 KRW, with the current price comfortably above support but still far from resistance.
Fundamentally, the company posts robust revenue growth and a sizable cash pile, yet it struggles with negative profitability, a weak operating cash flow, and an extremely high debt‑to‑equity ratio. A discounted cash‑flow model values the stock at roughly four times its market price, indicating potential undervaluation, but the absence of earnings, dividends, and a volatile price history amplify the risk profile.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price below key moving averages suggests continued downside pressure
  • Oversold RSI may produce a short‑term bounce
  • High volatility could trigger rapid price swings

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • DCF fair value far exceeds current price, implying upside potential
  • Strong revenue growth despite weak profitability
  • Large cash reserves provide a cushion for restructuring

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Persistent negative earnings and high leverage raise sustainability concerns
  • Potential regulatory headwinds in the specialty‑generic drug space
  • Absence of dividend limits income‑focused appeal

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth37.20%
Profit Margin-76.71%
ROE-33.90%
ROA0.50%
Debt/Equity33.37
Op. Cash Flow₩-155380320
Free Cash Flow₩6.0B
Industry P/E25.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI39.9
Support₩685.00
Resistance₩945.00
MA 20₩816.00
MA 50₩912.54
MA 200₩1,357.43
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index75.07

Valuation

Fair Value₩3,413.66
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.49
Volatility64.68%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.