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1COV:GETTEXCovestro AG Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time

€59.34

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Covestro AG is trading at €59.34, essentially on its 20‑day SMA (~€60.32) and right at the identified support level of €59.34. The RSI sits at 24.9, indicating the stock is oversold, while the MACD line (-0.20) is below its signal (-0.10), showing a bearish divergence. Volume is on a decreasing trend, suggesting limited buying pressure.
The stock’s beta of 0.03 and 30‑day volatility of ~4.1% point to very low systematic risk, but thin trading (10‑day average volume of 28) raises liquidity concerns. Market sentiment is “Extreme Greed” (FGI 77.68), which could spur short‑term upside despite the technical bearish bias.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • RSI indicating oversold conditions
  • Price sitting at technical support
  • Bearish MACD divergence

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Neutral trend direction
  • Low beta reduces market volatility exposure
  • Limited upside to resistance at €60.72

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Very low systematic risk (beta ~0.03)
  • Potential recovery from oversold technical state
  • Stable industry outlook despite lack of disclosed fundamentals

Key Metrics & Analysis

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI24.9
Support€59.34
Resistance€60.72
MA 20€60.32
MA 50€60.46
MA 200€59.69
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index77.68

Valuation

GradeFair
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta0.03
Volatility4.12%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.