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1999:HKEXMan Wah Holdings Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-08 - not real-time

HK$3.13

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

At HKD 3.12, Man Wah Holdings Limited shows a bearish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages beneath longer ones. With RSI at 45.6 the momentum picture is neutral, alongside a bullish MACD signal. Price has been bracketed by support at HKD 2.97 and resistance at HKD 3.34.
On valuation the read is undervalued — an earnings multiple of 6.6, absent a reliable peer benchmark. The average analyst target implies 48.8% above today's level. Revenue is contracting at 2.5% on a 11.0% profit margin. The 7.68% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk comes out at 6 of a possible 10, a elevated reading. With 30-day volatility of 29.5%, a beta of 0.36 and a maximum drawdown of 42.7%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on hold — conviction 2 out of 10.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 4.25
  • MACD momentum is positive

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 1/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 4.25
  • Analyst targets imply +48.8% versus the current price

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst targets imply +48.8% versus the current price
  • Revenue contracting at -2.5%
  • Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-2.50%
Profit Margin11.03%
P/E Ratio6.6
ROE13.20%
ROA7.12%
Debt/Equity31.84
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash FlowHK$2.4B
Free Cash FlowHK$-131724496

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI45.6
SupportHK$2.97
ResistanceHK$3.34
MA 20HK$3.13
MA 50HK$3.26
MA 200HK$4.25
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index94.82

Valuation

Fair ValueHK$5.16
Target PriceHK$4.65
Upside/Downside48.80%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield7.68%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.36
Volatility29.52%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.