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1999:HKEXMan Wah Holdings Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time

HK$3.80

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Man Wah Holdings is trading at HK$3.80, which sits below its 20‑day SMA of HK$4.25 and hovers just above the identified support level of HK$3.72. The RSI of 26 signals an oversold condition, yet the MACD remains bearish and the overall trend is classified as bearish. Volume is increasing, suggesting renewed interest despite the downtrend.
Valuation appears stretched: the DCF‑derived fair value of HK$2.38 is well below the current price, implying an overvalued stance, while a low PE of 8.1 and a robust dividend yield of 6.05% provide a value cushion. The dividend payout ratio of 58% is supported by solid operating cash flow and a healthy free cash flow generation, indicating sustainability. Market sentiment is aggressive, reflected by a fear‑greed index of Extreme Greed, which may be inflating the price.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • RSI indicates oversold conditions
  • Price near strong support level
  • High dividend yield with sustainable payout

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and trend direction
  • Revenue contraction and modest growth
  • Valuation gap between market price and DCF fair value

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Low PE and attractive price‑to‑book ratio
  • Consistent cash flow generation
  • Sustainable dividend policy

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-3.10%
Profit Margin12.43%
P/E Ratio8.1
ROE15.24%
ROA9.20%
Debt/Equity28.07
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash FlowHK$3.4B
Free Cash FlowHK$721.4M

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI26.3
SupportHK$3.72
ResistanceHK$4.44
MA 20HK$4.25
MA 50HK$4.35
MA 200HK$4.61
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.61

Valuation

Fair ValueHK$2.38
Target PriceHK$5.40
Upside/Downside42.05%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield6.05%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.54
Volatility32.00%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.