1963:TSEJGC Holdings Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-12 - not real-time
¥2,192.00
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
JGC Holdings is trading at ¥2,192, comfortably above its calculated support of ¥2,002.5 but still below the 20‑day SMA of ¥2,314, indicating a modest pull‑back within an overall bullish trend. The RSI sits near 47, suggesting neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram remains negative and the signal line is flagged as bearish, hinting at short‑term downside pressure. Volatility is elevated at 56.6% over the past 30 days, yet the beta of 0.43 points to lower systematic risk relative to the market. On the fundamental side, the company’s forward P/E of 18 is well beneath the industry average of 30, positioning it as undervalued on a relative basis. Cash holdings of ¥356 bn dwarf debt of ¥35 bn, yielding a debt‑to‑equity ratio of just 8.2%, and the payout ratio of 49% sits comfortably within sustainable limits given a forward EPS forecast of ¥121.8. Dividend yield remains at 1.82% with a stable ex‑dividend date, adding income appeal. ROE of 8.2% and ROA of 2.7% reflect modest profitability, while the forward earnings outlook suggests a significant earnings turnaround. The blend of a solid balance sheet, attractive valuation relative to peers, and a reliable dividend makes the stock appealing for longer horizons, even as technical indicators caution against aggressive short‑term positioning.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near support but below short‑term SMA
- Bearish MACD signal
- Stable dividend yield
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Forward P/E well below industry average
- Strong cash position versus debt
- Projected earnings turnaround
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strategic exposure to energy transition and functional materials
- Sustainable dividend policy
- Low beta and solid balance sheet
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Profit Margin4.08%
P/E Ratio18.0
ROE8.24%
ROA2.68%
Debt/Equity8.23
P/B Ratio1.2
Industry P/E30.0
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI47.1
Support¥2,002.50
Resistance¥2,571.00
MA 20¥2,314.45
MA 50¥2,168.56
MA 200¥1,642.60
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index78.16
Valuation
Target Price¥2,190.00
Upside/Downside-0.09%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.82%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.43
Volatility56.62%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.