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196170:KRX196170.KS,0P0001528W,420452 Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

₩271,500.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The fund is trading at 271,500 KRW, well beneath its 20‑day (383,550 KRW), 50‑day (415,970 KRW) and 200‑day (439,003 KRW) simple moving averages, indicating a pronounced bearish price gap. Support at 327,000 KRW remains untested as the current price sits roughly 55,000 KRW below that level, and the RSI of 42.7 suggests the asset is approaching oversold territory but has not yet triggered a technical rebound. The MACD histogram is negative (-267) with the MACD line below its signal, reinforcing short‑term downward momentum, while volatility is elevated at 76.3% (30‑day) and the beta of 0.56 points to lower systematic risk relative to the market. Despite the high volatility, the fear‑greed index at 72.88 (Greed) reflects a market environment that may be favoring risk‑on assets, putting additional pressure on this security.
Fundamental data is unavailable, there is no dividend payout, and cash‑flow metrics are missing, limiting valuation depth. The combination of a deep discount to trend averages, increasing volume, and modest beta suggests a potential mean‑reversion play, yet the lack of earnings visibility and high price swing risk temper optimism.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price well below support and all SMA levels
  • Bearish MACD and negative histogram
  • High short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Potential mean‑reversion toward SMA corridors
  • Increasing volume indicating accumulation interest
  • Low beta reducing market‑wide exposure

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Deep discount to long‑term trend averages
  • Value‑oriented profile with limited systematic risk
  • Absence of dividend obligations allowing capital appreciation

Key Metrics & Analysis

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI42.7
Support₩327,000.00
Resistance₩419,000.00
MA 20₩383,550.00
MA 50₩415,970.00
MA 200₩439,002.50
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.56
Volatility76.30%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.