1910:HKEXSamsonite Group S.A. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time
HK$16.10
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The stock is trading well beneath its short‑term and medium‑term moving averages, signaling a pronounced price weakness. Momentum indicators show the RSI deep in oversold territory, hinting at a possible rebound. The MACD line sits below its signal line, reinforcing a bearish bias but also suggesting a widening gap that could close. Current price hovers just above a key support level, providing a technical floor. Volume has been on the rise, adding weight to any near‑term reversal. A beta well under one points to limited market‑wide volatility, yet the 30‑day price swings remain elevated, reflecting sector sensitivity.
Fundamentally, the company enjoys a low single‑digit PE multiple, underscoring its cheap valuation. Return on equity exceeds twenty percent, and cash flow generation comfortably exceeds dividend commitments. Debt levels are high in absolute terms but the debt‑to‑equity ratio suggests leverage is manageable given cash reserves. The dividend yield sits above five percent, and a payout ratio near half signals sustainability. A discounted cash‑flow model places intrinsic value well above the market price, implying a sizable upside. Combining the technical bounce potential with solid fundamentals makes the stock a compelling buy for investors seeking value and income.
Fundamentally, the company enjoys a low single‑digit PE multiple, underscoring its cheap valuation. Return on equity exceeds twenty percent, and cash flow generation comfortably exceeds dividend commitments. Debt levels are high in absolute terms but the debt‑to‑equity ratio suggests leverage is manageable given cash reserves. The dividend yield sits above five percent, and a payout ratio near half signals sustainability. A discounted cash‑flow model places intrinsic value well above the market price, implying a sizable upside. Combining the technical bounce potential with solid fundamentals makes the stock a compelling buy for investors seeking value and income.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- oversold RSI suggests near‑term bounce
- price positioned just above technical support
- rising volume adds momentum confidence
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- DCF indicates significant undervaluation
- strong cash flow supports dividend sustainability
- stable margins and diversified brand portfolio
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- global brand diversification reduces geographic concentration
- consistent dividend income enhances total return
- long‑term secular demand for travel and luggage solutions
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-0.60%
Profit Margin8.68%
P/E Ratio9.9
ROE20.92%
ROA6.94%
Debt/Equity151.25
P/B Ratio1.9
Op. Cash FlowHK$474.8M
Free Cash FlowHK$302.2M
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI26.7
SupportHK$15.93
ResistanceHK$20.42
MA 20HK$18.46
MA 50HK$19.56
MA 200HK$17.47
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Fair ValueHK$1.62
Target PriceHK$23.94
Upside/Downside48.71%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.26%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.44
Volatility34.66%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.