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1910:HKEXSamsonite Group S.A. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time

HK$16.10

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock is trading well beneath its short‑term and medium‑term moving averages, signaling a pronounced price weakness. Momentum indicators show the RSI deep in oversold territory, hinting at a possible rebound. The MACD line sits below its signal line, reinforcing a bearish bias but also suggesting a widening gap that could close. Current price hovers just above a key support level, providing a technical floor. Volume has been on the rise, adding weight to any near‑term reversal. A beta well under one points to limited market‑wide volatility, yet the 30‑day price swings remain elevated, reflecting sector sensitivity.
Fundamentally, the company enjoys a low single‑digit PE multiple, underscoring its cheap valuation. Return on equity exceeds twenty percent, and cash flow generation comfortably exceeds dividend commitments. Debt levels are high in absolute terms but the debt‑to‑equity ratio suggests leverage is manageable given cash reserves. The dividend yield sits above five percent, and a payout ratio near half signals sustainability. A discounted cash‑flow model places intrinsic value well above the market price, implying a sizable upside. Combining the technical bounce potential with solid fundamentals makes the stock a compelling buy for investors seeking value and income.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • oversold RSI suggests near‑term bounce
  • price positioned just above technical support
  • rising volume adds momentum confidence

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • DCF indicates significant undervaluation
  • strong cash flow supports dividend sustainability
  • stable margins and diversified brand portfolio

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • global brand diversification reduces geographic concentration
  • consistent dividend income enhances total return
  • long‑term secular demand for travel and luggage solutions

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-0.60%
Profit Margin8.68%
P/E Ratio9.9
ROE20.92%
ROA6.94%
Debt/Equity151.25
P/B Ratio1.9
Op. Cash FlowHK$474.8M
Free Cash FlowHK$302.2M

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI26.7
SupportHK$15.93
ResistanceHK$20.42
MA 20HK$18.46
MA 50HK$19.56
MA 200HK$17.47
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair ValueHK$1.62
Target PriceHK$23.94
Upside/Downside48.71%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.26%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.44
Volatility34.66%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.