1833:HKEXKoMiCo Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-23 - not real-time
₩177,100.00
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
KoMiCo Ltd. is firmly positioned above its short‑term, intermediate‑term and long‑term moving averages, underscoring a robust bullish trend. The RSI sits comfortably in the upper‑mid range, while the MACD line remains above its signal, delivering a bullish momentum signal.
However, the current price sits far above the discounted cash‑flow fair‑value estimate and the upside/downside projection is negative, suggesting the stock is materially overvalued. Coupled with a high beta, elevated 30‑day volatility, and a substantial debt load that dwarfs its cash reserves, the risk profile is tilted toward the higher end despite the encouraging revenue growth and decent profitability margins.
However, the current price sits far above the discounted cash‑flow fair‑value estimate and the upside/downside projection is negative, suggesting the stock is materially overvalued. Coupled with a high beta, elevated 30‑day volatility, and a substantial debt load that dwarfs its cash reserves, the risk profile is tilted toward the higher end despite the encouraging revenue growth and decent profitability margins.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price trading well above key support levels and near resistance
- Technical bullish signals juxtaposed with significant overvaluation
- Elevated volatility and beta amplifying short‑term price swings
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Strong top‑line growth and solid operating margins
- Heavy debt burden and negative free cash flow limiting flexibility
- Dividend yield modest and sustainability in question
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term secular demand for semiconductor equipment and cleaning solutions
- Potential for deleveraging and balance‑sheet improvement
- Industry positioning offers upside if valuation compresses
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth28.30%
Profit Margin8.25%
P/E Ratio24.9
ROE20.72%
ROA7.58%
Debt/Equity141.56
Op. Cash Flow₩38.2B
Free Cash Flow₩-171556864000
Industry P/E39.5
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI63.4
Support₩139,000.00
Resistance₩191,600.00
MA 20₩153,150.00
MA 50₩135,100.00
MA 200₩105,625.00
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61
Valuation
Fair Value₩52,965.12
Target Price₩156,500.00
Upside/Downside-11.63%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.79%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.68
Volatility108.61%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.