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1833:HKEXKoMiCo Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-18 - not real-time

¥5,840.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Okumura Corp trades at a PE of 11.4, well below the industry average of 31.2, suggesting a valuation edge, while delivering a 5.24% dividend yield. Technically the stock sits just below its 50‑day (5,906) and 200‑day (5,863) moving averages, with price hovering near the immediate resistance of 5,870 and above the 20‑day SMA (5,602). Momentum indicators are mixed – the RSI is neutral at 55, but a bullish MACD histogram (+53) hints at short‑term upside despite decreasing volume and a neutral trend direction.
Fundamentally the company faces headwinds: revenue fell 4.7% YoY, gross margins sit at only 12.6%, and free cash flow is negative (-8.6 bn JPY) while debt remains high (Debt‑to‑Equity 35.3). The dividend payout ratio of 58% is modest, yet the combination of high leverage and cash‑flow strain raises questions about long‑term sustainability.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near resistance of 5,870
  • Decreasing volume and neutral trend
  • Bullish MACD histogram despite modest momentum

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued relative to industry PE
  • Attractive dividend yield but high leverage
  • Revenue decline and thin operating margins

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained revenue contraction and low growth
  • Elevated debt‑to‑equity and negative free cash flow
  • Cyclical exposure in the construction sector

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-4.70%
Profit Margin5.98%
P/E Ratio11.4
ROE11.19%
ROA2.39%
Debt/Equity35.34
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash Flow¥7.6B
Free Cash Flow¥-8627000320
Industry P/E31.2

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI55.4
Support¥5,420.00
Resistance¥5,870.00
MA 20¥5,602.00
MA 50¥5,906.20
MA 200¥5,862.68
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.5

Valuation

Fair Value¥542.78
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.24%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.05
Volatility29.90%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.