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1816:HKEXCGN Power Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-11 - not real-time

HK$3.01

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

CGN Power is trading just above its identified support level while remaining below the 20‑day simple moving average, indicating limited upside in the immediate term. The stock carries a price‑to‑earnings multiple well under the industry average, a respectable dividend yield near three percent and a payout ratio below fifty percent, suggesting the dividend remains defensible despite a negative free cash flow figure.
Technical indicators show a bearish MACD crossover and a modestly low RSI, pointing to continued neutral to slightly downside pressure, yet the low beta and utility sector backdrop provide a cushion against broader market swings. Analyst consensus leans toward a buy, but the high debt‑to‑equity ratio and regulatory exposure of nuclear operations temper enthusiasm, making a balanced, medium‑term stance prudent.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price near technical support
  • bearish MACD signal
  • high dividend yield offering income

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • valuation discount to industry peers
  • steady dividend payments
  • potential upside toward analyst target price

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • stable utility cash flows
  • significant debt load
  • regulatory and nuclear policy uncertainty

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-13.30%
Profit Margin12.96%
P/E Ratio13.7
ROE7.93%
ROA2.47%
Debt/Equity163.98
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash FlowHK$31.0B
Free Cash FlowHK$-4510239744
Industry P/E20.4

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI34.0
SupportHK$2.95
ResistanceHK$3.49
MA 20HK$3.17
MA 50HK$3.34
MA 200HK$3.15
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index81.41

Valuation

Fair ValueHK$0.28
Target PriceHK$3.64
Upside/Downside20.79%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.25%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.32
Volatility27.88%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.