1816:HKEXCGN Power Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-11 - not real-time
HK$3.01
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
CGN Power is trading just above its identified support level while remaining below the 20‑day simple moving average, indicating limited upside in the immediate term. The stock carries a price‑to‑earnings multiple well under the industry average, a respectable dividend yield near three percent and a payout ratio below fifty percent, suggesting the dividend remains defensible despite a negative free cash flow figure.
Technical indicators show a bearish MACD crossover and a modestly low RSI, pointing to continued neutral to slightly downside pressure, yet the low beta and utility sector backdrop provide a cushion against broader market swings. Analyst consensus leans toward a buy, but the high debt‑to‑equity ratio and regulatory exposure of nuclear operations temper enthusiasm, making a balanced, medium‑term stance prudent.
Technical indicators show a bearish MACD crossover and a modestly low RSI, pointing to continued neutral to slightly downside pressure, yet the low beta and utility sector backdrop provide a cushion against broader market swings. Analyst consensus leans toward a buy, but the high debt‑to‑equity ratio and regulatory exposure of nuclear operations temper enthusiasm, making a balanced, medium‑term stance prudent.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- price near technical support
- bearish MACD signal
- high dividend yield offering income
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- valuation discount to industry peers
- steady dividend payments
- potential upside toward analyst target price
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- stable utility cash flows
- significant debt load
- regulatory and nuclear policy uncertainty
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-13.30%
Profit Margin12.96%
P/E Ratio13.7
ROE7.93%
ROA2.47%
Debt/Equity163.98
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash FlowHK$31.0B
Free Cash FlowHK$-4510239744
Industry P/E20.4
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI34.0
SupportHK$2.95
ResistanceHK$3.49
MA 20HK$3.17
MA 50HK$3.34
MA 200HK$3.15
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index81.41
Valuation
Fair ValueHK$0.28
Target PriceHK$3.64
Upside/Downside20.79%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.25%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.32
Volatility27.88%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.