180640:KRXHanjin Kal Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time
₩122,600.00
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Hanjin Kal’s price of 122,600 KRW sits well above its 20‑day SMA of 115,800 KRW and the 200‑day SMA of 114,444 KRW, confirming a short‑term bullish technical stance. The MACD histogram is positive at 1,480 and the signal line is bullish, while the RSI of 55.6 indicates modest momentum without overbought pressure. However, the DCF‑derived fair value of only 24,638 KRW suggests the stock is dramatically overvalued, a gap reflected in the extreme greed sentiment index of 92.11. Fundamental metrics reveal a strained balance sheet: debt‑to‑equity stands at a staggering 13.0, free cash flow is negative, and ROE is under 5%, indicating limited profitability. The dividend yield of 0.28% with a 14.5% payout ratio appears unsustainable given the cash‑flow shortfall and high leverage. Combined with decreasing volume trends and a 30‑day volatility of nearly 70%, the stock faces significant upside risk correction despite its bullish chart signals.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Current price far exceeds DCF fair value
- Negative free cash flow and high debt burden
- Technical bullishness likely temporary in overvalued context
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Potential for price stabilization after correction
- Modest revenue growth but weak profitability
- Dividend yield insufficient to offset valuation risk
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Sustained overvaluation relative to fundamentals
- Structural balance‑sheet weakness
- High sector cyclicality and volatility
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth11.10%
Profit Margin54.85%
ROE5.00%
ROA-0.02%
Debt/Equity13.02
Op. Cash Flow₩122.0B
Free Cash Flow₩-67834306560
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI55.6
Support₩103,000.00
Resistance₩134,500.00
MA 20₩115,800.00
MA 50₩114,540.00
MA 200₩114,444.00
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.11
Valuation
Fair Value₩24,637.79
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield0.28%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.94
Volatility69.54%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.