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175:HKEXWILL SMART CO LTD Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-13 - not real-time

HK$0.10

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

REM Group trades at HK$0.095, which is roughly equal to its book value (PB = 1) and far below the DCF‑derived fair value of HK$0.266, indicating a sizable upside potential. Revenue is growing at 14% YoY and the company maintains a respectable 28% gross margin, though operating margins are thin at under 1%, reflecting a cost‑intensive business model. The balance sheet is strong, with cash of HK$72.7 m dwarfing the modest debt of HK$1.9 m, and a debt‑to‑equity ratio near 1.1. Technicals are bullish: the 20‑day SMA (0.090) sits above the 50‑day (0.089) and 200‑day (0.056) averages, the MACD histogram is positive and the RSI at 57 signals room for further upside. Volume has been tapering, yet the price remains comfortably above the identified support of HK$0.08 and below resistance at HK$0.107, offering a clear upside corridor. Market sentiment is in a “Greed” phase (Fear & Greed Index 72.9) and beta is near neutral, suggesting limited systematic risk. However, the stock exhibits high recent volatility (≈57% 30‑day) and a historical max drawdown of over 40%, underscoring downside risk. No dividend is paid, so income‑focused investors have little appeal. Overall, the blend of deep valuation discount, solid cash position, and bullish technical setup outweighs the modest profitability and volatility concerns.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near support but technicals remain bullish
  • High short‑term volatility
  • Strong cash cushion reduces downside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • DCF fair value suggests >150% upside
  • Revenue growth outpacing industry
  • Improving operating efficiencies could lift margins

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained undervaluation relative to book and DCF
  • Stable cash‑rich balance sheet supports strategic investments
  • Industry recovery prospects in electrical equipment

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth14.40%
Profit Margin3.57%
ROE3.19%
ROA1.33%
Debt/Equity1.11
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash FlowHK$23.6M
Free Cash FlowHK$16.4M
Industry P/E29.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI57.4
SupportHK$0.08
ResistanceHK$0.11
MA 20HK$0.09
MA 50HK$0.09
MA 200HK$0.06
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair ValueHK$0.27
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.06
Volatility56.68%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.