1513:HKEXChung-Hsin Electric and Machinery Manufacturing Corp. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time
HK$27.70
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Livzon Pharma is trading at HK$27.7, which sits below its 20‑day (HK$28.73), 50‑day (HK$29.24) and 200‑day (HK$32.16) simple moving averages, signaling a bearish technical backdrop. The stock is hovering just above the calculated support of HK$27.16 and faces resistance near HK$30.10, while the RSI of 38.8 points to a mildly oversold condition and the MACD remains in bearish territory. Volume is on the rise, yet the 30‑day volatility is elevated at roughly 25.5%, and beta is near zero, indicating limited correlation with broader market moves.
On the fundamentals side, Livzon trades at a forward PE of about 10×, far cheaper than the industry average of 26×, and offers a solid dividend yield of 4.33% with a payout ratio under 50%, suggesting dividend sustainability. The balance sheet is strong with cash far exceeding debt, and profitability metrics are robust (ROE ~16%, gross margin ~64%). However, the DCF‑derived fair value of HK$24.5 is below the current price, hinting at modest overvaluation, while analyst price targets around HK$38‑41 imply upside potential. Market sentiment is in “Greed” mode per the fear‑greed index, adding a bullish tilt despite the technical downside.
On the fundamentals side, Livzon trades at a forward PE of about 10×, far cheaper than the industry average of 26×, and offers a solid dividend yield of 4.33% with a payout ratio under 50%, suggesting dividend sustainability. The balance sheet is strong with cash far exceeding debt, and profitability metrics are robust (ROE ~16%, gross margin ~64%). However, the DCF‑derived fair value of HK$24.5 is below the current price, hinting at modest overvaluation, while analyst price targets around HK$38‑41 imply upside potential. Market sentiment is in “Greed” mode per the fear‑greed index, adding a bullish tilt despite the technical downside.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price below key moving averages and near support
- Bearish MACD and modest RSI indicating limited upside
- Attractive dividend yield providing income cushion
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Significant PE discount versus industry peers
- Strong cash position and manageable debt levels
- Analyst price targets suggesting upside to HK$38‑41
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Sustainable dividend payout with healthy earnings coverage
- Consistent profitability and solid ROE
- Long‑term growth opportunities in specialty and generic drug markets
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth1.60%
Profit Margin18.08%
P/E Ratio10.2
ROE16.43%
ROA6.38%
Debt/Equity25.49
P/B Ratio1.6
Op. Cash FlowHK$3.2B
Free Cash FlowHK$1.4B
Industry P/E26.2
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI38.8
SupportHK$27.16
ResistanceHK$30.10
MA 20HK$28.73
MA 50HK$29.24
MA 200HK$32.16
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Fair ValueHK$24.52
Target PriceHK$38.67
Upside/Downside39.61%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.33%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.04
Volatility25.51%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.