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1378:HKEXChina Hongqiao Group Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-11 - not real-time

HK$22.34

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The moving-average structure behind China Hongqiao Group Limited is neutral at HKD 22.34, with no clear ordering between short and long averages. Over a rolling month the price has lost 9.0%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 43.6 (neutral) with MACD reading bearish. Price has been bracketed by support at HKD 22.16 and resistance at HKD 24.66.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory at a P/E of 7.2. Analyst price targets sit 62.6% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 8.0% on a 16.3% profit margin. The 7.04% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 7 out of 10, which is elevated for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 46.8%, a beta of 0.64 and a maximum drawdown of 50.3%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 90 on the fear-greed composite.
Near-term and long-term part ways here — hold short-term against buy longer out, with 5/10 conviction on the long call.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 1/10

Key Factors

  • Trading below the 200-day average of 30.52
  • MACD momentum is negative
  • 30-day price change of -9.0%

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Trading below the 200-day average of 30.52
  • Analyst targets imply +62.6% versus the current price
  • 30-day volatility of 46.8%

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst targets imply +62.6% versus the current price
  • Profit margin of 16.3% is healthy
  • P/E ratio of 7.2

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth8.00%
Profit Margin16.28%
P/E Ratio7.2
ROE22.87%
ROA11.02%
Debt/Equity47.14
P/B Ratio1.4

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI43.6
SupportHK$22.16
ResistanceHK$24.66
MA 20HK$23.22
MA 50HK$23.04
MA 200HK$30.52
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.57

Valuation

Target PriceHK$36.33
Upside/Downside62.61%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield7.04%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.64
Volatility46.78%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.