1339:HKEXThe People's Insurance Company (Group) of China Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time
NT$44.80
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Y.C.C. Parts Mfg. Co., Ltd. trades around TWD 44.8, well above its DCF fair value of roughly TWD 23.9, indicating a sizable overvaluation. PE ratio of 18.6 and a price‑to‑book of 1.14 further underscore the premium pricing, while the RSI of 62.6 suggests the stock is approaching overbought territory. The MACD remains bullish, yet the price sits below the short‑term resistance at TWD 47.5 and above the support at TWD 40, implying limited upside in the near term. Fundamentally, the company faces a 20% revenue decline and a near‑zero operating margin, compounded by a high payout ratio of 124% that questions dividend sustainability. Volatility is elevated at about 36% over the past month, but beta is low (0.18), reflecting limited market‑wide sensitivity. Overall, the combination of overvaluation, weakening earnings, and an unsustainable dividend points to a cautious stance.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Current price exceeds DCF fair value
- High dividend payout ratio suggests unsustainability
- Technical indicators show limited upside near resistance
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Revenue decline and thin operating margins
- Potential price correction aligning with fair value
- Still attractive dividend yield if payout improves
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Structural earnings weakness and negative growth
- Overvaluation relative to fundamentals
- Cyclical exposure in auto parts sector
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-20.20%
Profit Margin20.09%
P/E Ratio18.6
ROE8.04%
ROA1.89%
Debt/Equity6.95
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash FlowNT$774.8M
Free Cash FlowNT$72.8M
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI62.6
SupportNT$40.00
ResistanceNT$47.50
MA 20NT$42.74
MA 50NT$41.74
MA 200NT$43.16
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Fair ValueNT$23.86
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield6.70%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.18
Volatility35.77%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.