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1301:TWSEFormosa Plastics Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-18 - not real-time

¥4,325.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Kyokuyo Co., Ltd. is trading at 4,325 JPY, just above its 20‑day SMA of 4,306.75 but well below the 50‑day (4,538.9) and 200‑day (4,837.05) averages, confirming a short‑term bearish bias. The RSI of 46 suggests the stock is not yet oversold, while the MACD histogram is positive, giving a tentative bullish signal amid a broader downtrend. Valuation metrics are attractive – a trailing P/E of 7.5x and a P/B of 0.66x – and the dividend yield of 3.76% with a modest 26% payout ratio looks appealing, though cash flow generation is negative. The company reports solid top‑line growth of 14.5% YoY, but thin margins (gross 12.4%, operating 2.1%) and a very high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 116.8 raise concerns about financial stability. Volatility is elevated at 23% over the past 30 days and volume is on a decreasing trend, indicating potential liquidity pressure. Overall, the stock offers a blend of value and growth characteristics, but investors should weigh the debt load and cash‑flow weakness against the low multiples and dividend appeal.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price hovering just above 20‑day SMA but below longer‑term averages
  • Decreasing volume and high 30‑day volatility
  • Mixed technical signals (bearish trend vs. bullish MACD histogram)

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Attractive valuation multiples (P/E 7.5x, P/B 0.66x)
  • Strong revenue growth offset by high leverage and negative cash flow
  • Sustainable dividend yield but cash‑flow concerns

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Low valuation provides upside potential if debt is reduced
  • Revenue growth indicates underlying business strength
  • Dividend yield adds income appeal assuming cash‑flow improves

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth14.50%
Profit Margin2.04%
P/E Ratio7.5
ROE8.88%
ROA3.38%
Debt/Equity116.78
P/B Ratio0.7
Op. Cash Flow¥-745000000
Free Cash Flow¥-6753500160

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI46.1
Support¥4,165.00
Resistance¥4,510.00
MA 20¥4,306.75
MA 50¥4,538.90
MA 200¥4,837.05
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.04

Valuation

GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.76%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.11
Volatility23.11%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.