12:HKEXBYD Company Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time
HK$96.75
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
BYD is trading just below its 20‑day SMA while the 200‑day SMA remains well above the price, indicating a neutral technical stance. The 14‑day RSI hovers around the midpoint, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions. A positive MACD histogram and a bullish crossover provide a modest momentum boost. Trading volume has been on the rise, supporting the recent price action. The stock’s beta is exceptionally low, pointing to limited sensitivity to broader market swings. However, 30‑day price volatility exceeds forty percent, underscoring pronounced price swings. Fundamentals show a PE ratio that is high relative to the broader market, which tempers enthusiasm.
The discounted cash‑flow model implies a fair value substantially above the current price, hinting at upside potential. The dividend yield sits near one and a half percent, but a payout ratio approaching ninety‑five percent raises sustainability concerns. Analysts collectively rate the stock as a buy, with a median target well above today’s level. The company’s free cash flow is negative, reflecting ongoing investment in expansion and R&D. Debt levels are moderate relative to equity, but the absolute debt figure remains sizable. The automotive segment benefits from strong demand for electric vehicles, positioning BYD for long‑term growth. Regulatory developments in China could swing sentiment either way, adding a layer of uncertainty.
The discounted cash‑flow model implies a fair value substantially above the current price, hinting at upside potential. The dividend yield sits near one and a half percent, but a payout ratio approaching ninety‑five percent raises sustainability concerns. Analysts collectively rate the stock as a buy, with a median target well above today’s level. The company’s free cash flow is negative, reflecting ongoing investment in expansion and R&D. Debt levels are moderate relative to equity, but the absolute debt figure remains sizable. The automotive segment benefits from strong demand for electric vehicles, positioning BYD for long‑term growth. Regulatory developments in China could swing sentiment either way, adding a layer of uncertainty.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Neutral technical positioning with price near short‑term support
- High volatility could trigger rapid moves
- Elevated PE ratio limits upside in the near term
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- DCF valuation indicates substantial upside
- Analyst consensus is bullish with strong target prices
- Growing EV demand supports earnings expansion
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Strategic position in electric‑vehicle and battery markets
- Long‑term growth prospects outweigh regulatory uncertainty
- Dividend provides modest income despite high payout ratio
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-3.10%
Profit Margin4.56%
P/E Ratio60.8
ROE18.53%
ROA2.85%
Debt/Equity37.53
P/B Ratio3.6
Op. Cash FlowHK$118.0B
Free Cash FlowHK$-47021981696
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI50.1
SupportHK$90.40
ResistanceHK$101.10
MA 20HK$97.13
MA 50HK$96.83
MA 200HK$108.41
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Fair ValueHK$131.66
Target PriceHK$125.10
Upside/Downside29.30%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.49%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.02
Volatility43.32%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.