We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

1157:HKEXZoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time

HK$9.21

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Zoomlion is trading above its 20‑day SMA and the 20‑day SMA sits above the 50‑day and 200‑day averages, indicating a bullish price trend, yet the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, suggesting short‑term momentum weakening. The RSI sits in the low‑40s, implying limited upside pressure, while the stock’s 30‑day volatility exceeds 48% and its beta is well below 1, reflecting high price swings but low market‑wide correlation. On the fundamentals side, the company posted a 24.9% YoY revenue surge, a PE of ~16.7 versus an industry average of ~29, and a dividend yield near 6% with a payout ratio of 62%, positioning it as a relatively cheap, high‑yielding name. However, free cash flow is negative and net debt is more than double cash, raising concerns about cash‑flow sustainability.
Recent announcements highlight a $1.2 billion global equipment shipment outlook for 2026 and recognition as a leading smart‑factory, underscoring strategic growth initiatives. These developments could bolster top‑line growth, but the heavy debt load and cash‑flow deficit temper enthusiasm, making the stock a nuanced play between value appeal and operational risk.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD signal despite bullish SMA alignment
  • Price approaching the 10.67 resistance level
  • Elevated 30‑day volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong 24.9% revenue growth and expanding shipment outlook
  • Attractive PE relative to industry peers
  • High dividend yield with a reasonable payout ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic push into smart‑factory technology and intelligent construction solutions
  • Significant net debt and negative free cash flow
  • Cyclical nature of construction and agricultural machinery markets

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth24.90%
Profit Margin8.92%
P/E Ratio16.7
ROE7.66%
ROA1.83%
Debt/Equity55.83
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash FlowHK$3.8B
Free Cash FlowHK$-8310071296
Industry P/E29.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI43.5
SupportHK$9.16
ResistanceHK$10.67
MA 20HK$9.95
MA 50HK$9.08
MA 200HK$7.36
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair ValueHK$7.36
Target PriceHK$9.15
Upside/Downside-0.65%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield5.96%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.21
Volatility48.06%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.