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1138:HKEXDgenx Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time

₩794.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Dgenx Co., Ltd. trades at KRW 794, well below its DCF‑derived fair value of approximately KRW 1,565, suggesting a substantial upside potential. The stock sits above its 20‑day (KRW 766) and 50‑day (KRW 775.6) moving averages but remains under the 200‑day SMA (KRW 889.7), indicating a short‑term bounce within a longer‑term bearish framework. Technical momentum is mixed: the MACD line is bullish (histogram +3.12) while the RSI hovers near the neutral 52‑point mark, and volume is on an upward trend. Volatility is high at roughly 88% over the past 30 days, yet the beta is exceptionally low (≈0.06), implying limited market‑wide sensitivity. On the fundamentals side, revenue has contracted by 12.6% and operating margins are negative (‑1.85%), though gross margins sit at 14.7% and the company still generates a positive free cash flow of KRW 3.81 bn. The balance sheet shows cash (KRW 15.06 bn) roughly matching debt (KRW 15.75 bn) with a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 67.4%, flagging moderate leverage. The dividend yield of 2.51% is supported by a modest payout ratio of 19.6%, indicating current sustainability. Despite the earnings pressure, the combination of undervaluation, dividend income, and solid cash generation provides a value‑oriented case. However, the sector’s cyclical nature, high recent drawdown (‑67.6%), and ongoing revenue decline temper enthusiasm. Investors should weigh the upside from the valuation gap against the operational and sector risks before positioning.
Overall, the stock presents a nuanced picture: attractive on a pure valuation and dividend basis, but challenged by weak profitability trends and elevated price volatility.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish long‑term trend (price below 200‑day SMA)
  • High short‑term volatility
  • Mixed technical signals despite bullish MACD

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation gap to DCF fair value
  • Sustainable dividend yield of 2.51%
  • Positive free cash flow and improving volume

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Revenue contraction and negative operating margin
  • Moderate leverage with cash roughly equal to debt
  • Low beta offering defensive characteristics

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-12.60%
Profit Margin4.04%
ROE14.91%
ROA4.33%
Debt/Equity67.39
Op. Cash Flow₩5.2B
Free Cash Flow₩3.8B

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI52.5
Support₩0.00
Resistance₩1,057.00
MA 20₩766.00
MA 50₩775.56
MA 200₩889.72
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair Value₩1,564.91
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.51%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.06
Volatility87.95%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.