1128:HKEXWynn Macau, Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-23 - not real-time
HK$5.56
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Technical outlook: The stock is trading below its short‑term moving averages, with price hugging a key support level and facing resistance ahead. Momentum indicators sit in neutral territory, with the RSI showing modest weakness and the MACD delivering a bearish signal, suggesting limited upside in the near term. Volume remains stable and beta is low, while 30‑day volatility is moderate, and market sentiment is at an extreme greed phase, indicating potential over‑optimism.
Fundamental backdrop: Revenue is expanding at a healthy pace and margins remain respectable, but the balance sheet is strained by a high debt load that outweighs cash reserves, resulting in a negative book value per share. The dividend yield is attractive yet the payout exceeds earnings, raising sustainability concerns. Valuation models place intrinsic value well below the current price, while analysts maintain a buy consensus based on forward earnings multiple and growth prospects, though regulatory and geographic headwinds persist.
Fundamental backdrop: Revenue is expanding at a healthy pace and margins remain respectable, but the balance sheet is strained by a high debt load that outweighs cash reserves, resulting in a negative book value per share. The dividend yield is attractive yet the payout exceeds earnings, raising sustainability concerns. Valuation models place intrinsic value well below the current price, while analysts maintain a buy consensus based on forward earnings multiple and growth prospects, though regulatory and geographic headwinds persist.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- price near technical support
- high dividend yield despite sustainability concerns
- bearish MACD indicating cautious entry
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- solid revenue growth and margin profile
- forward earnings multiple suggesting valuation upside
- analyst consensus leaning toward a higher target price
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- elevated debt and negative book value
- regulatory and geopolitical exposure in the Macau gaming market
- uncertain dividend sustainability and cyclicality of the resort sector
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth9.70%
Profit Margin5.62%
P/E Ratio17.9
ROA7.22%
P/B Ratio-2.2
Op. Cash FlowHK$7.4B
Free Cash FlowHK$2.4B
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI41.7
SupportHK$5.49
ResistanceHK$5.86
MA 20HK$5.68
MA 50HK$5.63
MA 200HK$6.20
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.61
Valuation
Fair ValueHK$2.63
Target PriceHK$7.10
Upside/Downside27.76%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield8.02%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.54
Volatility17.62%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.