1128:HKEXWynn Macau, Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time
HK$5.51
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Wynn Macau (1128.HK) trades at HK$5.51, just above the 20‑day SMA of 5.44 but below the 50‑day (5.73) and 200‑day (6.20) averages, signalling a short‑term bearish bias. The price sits on a technical support level of 5.50 with resistance near 6.05, while the MACD histogram remains negative and the RSI hovers around the neutral 50.6. On the fundamentals side, revenue has slipped -7.5% YoY, yet the company delivers a respectable 6.6% profit margin and an operating cash flow of HK$7.26 bn, supporting a generous 6.67% dividend yield with an 84% payout ratio. Valuation metrics show a trailing PE of 17.8x and a forward PE of 10.1x**, implying earnings are becoming cheaper, while analyst consensus targets a mean price of HK$7.56, indicating ~37% upside. The balance sheet is heavily leveraged, with total debt of HK$45.6 bn dwarfing cash of HK$11.6 bn and a negative book value per share, raising concerns about financial resilience. Despite these headwinds, the market sentiment index reads 79.45 (Extreme Greed), suggesting investor appetite remains strong for the stock.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support at 5.5
- Bearish MACD and neutral RSI
- Attractive dividend yield offset by high debt
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Forward earnings growth (EPS 0.55) and lower forward PE
- Analyst price targets imply ~37% upside
- Strong cash flow supporting dividend
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Heavy leverage and negative book value
- Regulatory and sector cyclicality risk
- Sustained high dividend yield if cash flow remains stable
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-7.50%
Profit Margin6.65%
P/E Ratio17.8
ROA6.95%
P/B Ratio-2.1
Op. Cash FlowHK$7.3B
Free Cash FlowHK$2.8B
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI50.6
SupportHK$5.50
ResistanceHK$6.05
MA 20HK$5.44
MA 50HK$5.73
MA 200HK$6.20
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index79.45
Valuation
Fair ValueHK$0.68
Target PriceHK$7.56
Upside/Downside37.22%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield6.67%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.34
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.