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1128:HKEXWynn Macau, Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-26 - not real-time

HK$4.91

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical outlook: The stock is trading beneath its short‑term moving averages, with the 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs both acting as resistance. Momentum indicators are in bearish territory – the RSI is deep in oversold levels and the MACD line sits below its signal, producing a negative histogram. Volume has been on a downtrend, and price is hovering just above a clear support zone, suggesting limited upside in the near term.
Fundamental backdrop: Revenue growth remains modestly positive, yet profit margins are thin and the company carries a heavy debt load that dwarfs its cash balance. Book value per share is negative, and the dividend yield, while attractive, is funded by a payout ratio that exceeds earnings, raising sustainability concerns. A discounted cash‑flow model values the business well below the current market price, indicating that the market may be pricing in speculative upside rather than intrinsic value.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price below key moving averages and near support
  • Bearish MACD and oversold RSI
  • Decreasing trading volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst price targets imply upside potential
  • Revenue growth and gross margin remain respectable
  • Regulatory and geographic uncertainties persist

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Negative book value and high leverage
  • Unsustainable dividend payout
  • Elevated sector and regulatory risk in the casino industry

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth9.70%
Profit Margin5.62%
P/E Ratio15.8
ROA7.22%
P/B Ratio-1.9
Op. Cash FlowHK$7.4B
Free Cash FlowHK$2.4B

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI22.0
SupportHK$4.87
ResistanceHK$6.07
MA 20HK$5.44
MA 50HK$5.58
MA 200HK$6.07
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.7

Valuation

Fair ValueHK$2.85
Target PriceHK$7.00
Upside/Downside42.49%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield8.80%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.52
Volatility25.03%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.