1128:HKEXWynn Macau, Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-26 - not real-time
HK$4.91
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Technical outlook: The stock is trading beneath its short‑term moving averages, with the 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs both acting as resistance. Momentum indicators are in bearish territory – the RSI is deep in oversold levels and the MACD line sits below its signal, producing a negative histogram. Volume has been on a downtrend, and price is hovering just above a clear support zone, suggesting limited upside in the near term.
Fundamental backdrop: Revenue growth remains modestly positive, yet profit margins are thin and the company carries a heavy debt load that dwarfs its cash balance. Book value per share is negative, and the dividend yield, while attractive, is funded by a payout ratio that exceeds earnings, raising sustainability concerns. A discounted cash‑flow model values the business well below the current market price, indicating that the market may be pricing in speculative upside rather than intrinsic value.
Fundamental backdrop: Revenue growth remains modestly positive, yet profit margins are thin and the company carries a heavy debt load that dwarfs its cash balance. Book value per share is negative, and the dividend yield, while attractive, is funded by a payout ratio that exceeds earnings, raising sustainability concerns. A discounted cash‑flow model values the business well below the current market price, indicating that the market may be pricing in speculative upside rather than intrinsic value.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price below key moving averages and near support
- Bearish MACD and oversold RSI
- Decreasing trading volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Analyst price targets imply upside potential
- Revenue growth and gross margin remain respectable
- Regulatory and geographic uncertainties persist
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Negative book value and high leverage
- Unsustainable dividend payout
- Elevated sector and regulatory risk in the casino industry
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth9.70%
Profit Margin5.62%
P/E Ratio15.8
ROA7.22%
P/B Ratio-1.9
Op. Cash FlowHK$7.4B
Free Cash FlowHK$2.4B
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI22.0
SupportHK$4.87
ResistanceHK$6.07
MA 20HK$5.44
MA 50HK$5.58
MA 200HK$6.07
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.7
Valuation
Fair ValueHK$2.85
Target PriceHK$7.00
Upside/Downside42.49%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield8.80%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.52
Volatility25.03%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.