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1128:HKEXWynn Macau, Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time

HK$5.51

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Wynn Macau (1128.HK) trades at HK$5.51, just above the 20‑day SMA of 5.44 but below the 50‑day (5.73) and 200‑day (6.20) averages, signalling a short‑term bearish bias. The price sits on a technical support level of 5.50 with resistance near 6.05, while the MACD histogram remains negative and the RSI hovers around the neutral 50.6. On the fundamentals side, revenue has slipped -7.5% YoY, yet the company delivers a respectable 6.6% profit margin and an operating cash flow of HK$7.26 bn, supporting a generous 6.67% dividend yield with an 84% payout ratio. Valuation metrics show a trailing PE of 17.8x and a forward PE of 10.1x**, implying earnings are becoming cheaper, while analyst consensus targets a mean price of HK$7.56, indicating ~37% upside. The balance sheet is heavily leveraged, with total debt of HK$45.6 bn dwarfing cash of HK$11.6 bn and a negative book value per share, raising concerns about financial resilience. Despite these headwinds, the market sentiment index reads 79.45 (Extreme Greed), suggesting investor appetite remains strong for the stock.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support at 5.5
  • Bearish MACD and neutral RSI
  • Attractive dividend yield offset by high debt

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Forward earnings growth (EPS 0.55) and lower forward PE
  • Analyst price targets imply ~37% upside
  • Strong cash flow supporting dividend

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Heavy leverage and negative book value
  • Regulatory and sector cyclicality risk
  • Sustained high dividend yield if cash flow remains stable

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-7.50%
Profit Margin6.65%
P/E Ratio17.8
ROA6.95%
P/B Ratio-2.1
Op. Cash FlowHK$7.3B
Free Cash FlowHK$2.8B

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI50.6
SupportHK$5.50
ResistanceHK$6.05
MA 20HK$5.44
MA 50HK$5.73
MA 200HK$6.20
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index79.45

Valuation

Fair ValueHK$0.68
Target PriceHK$7.56
Upside/Downside37.22%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield6.67%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.34
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.