1114:HKEXBrilliance China Automotive Holdings Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time
HK$2.79
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Price action shows the stock trading below its short‑term and medium‑term moving averages, with a bearish trend direction and an RSI in the low‑forties suggesting modest oversold pressure. Technical signals are mixed – the MACD histogram is slightly positive, yet the overall momentum remains weak. On the fundamentals side, the company carries a very high dividend yield that is not supported by earnings, as indicated by a payout ratio well above one and negative operating and free cash flow. Nevertheless, valuation multiples such as a low price‑to‑book and a modest price‑to‑earnings ratio point to a discount relative to peers.
Outlook calls for caution: short‑term investors should monitor the price’s ability to break above key support levels, while medium‑term holders may wait for cash‑flow stabilization. Long‑term prospects could improve if the firm leverages its strategic partnerships and manages to turn around profitability, making the current valuation attractive for patient capital.
Outlook calls for caution: short‑term investors should monitor the price’s ability to break above key support levels, while medium‑term holders may wait for cash‑flow stabilization. Long‑term prospects could improve if the firm leverages its strategic partnerships and manages to turn around profitability, making the current valuation attractive for patient capital.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- price below key moving averages
- bearish trend direction
- high dividend yield but unsustainable payout
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- valuation discount relative to book value
- ongoing cash‑flow deficits
- potential upside from strategic partnerships
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- low price‑to‑book and P/E suggest value opportunity
- industry recovery prospects for consumer cyclical autos
- ability to improve profitability could sustain dividend
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth7.30%
Profit Margin168.00%
P/E Ratio6.2
ROE7.60%
ROA-1.24%
Debt/Equity0.52
P/B Ratio0.6
Op. Cash FlowHK$-579337024
Free Cash FlowHK$-649439104
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI39.8
SupportHK$2.70
ResistanceHK$3.08
MA 20HK$2.87
MA 50HK$3.01
MA 200HK$3.67
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.3
Valuation
Target PriceHK$3.50
Upside/Downside25.44%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield28.37%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.35
Volatility34.41%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.