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1038:HKEXCK Infrastructure Holdings Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

HK$64.25

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

CK Infrastructure is trading above its recent moving averages, signaling a bullish bias, while the RSI sits near the neutral zone and the MACD histogram has turned negative, hinting at short‑term momentum weakness. Volume has been tapering, and the price is hovering just above a clear support level with upside potential toward the next resistance. The stock offers a solid dividend yield that underpins its attractiveness to income‑focused investors, and its price‑to‑earnings multiple is comfortably below the industry average, suggesting a valuation edge.
Fundamentally, revenue has contracted, yet margins remain healthy and free cash flow is robust, supported by a strong cash balance that offsets a high debt load. The dividend payout ratio, while elevated, appears sustainable given the cash generation. Analyst consensus leans toward a buy, and market sentiment is currently in a “greed” phase, providing a supportive backdrop for the stock.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • price near immediate support
  • negative MACD histogram
  • strong dividend yield

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • valuation below industry peers
  • robust free cash flow
  • sustainable dividend payout

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • stable regulated asset base across multiple geographies
  • consistent income generation
  • attractive dividend profile

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-15.40%
Profit Margin159.69%
P/E Ratio18.8
ROE6.11%
ROA0.40%
Debt/Equity15.49
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash FlowHK$1.9B
Free Cash FlowHK$2.2B
Industry P/E23.3

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI48.8
SupportHK$63.50
ResistanceHK$67.80
MA 20HK$65.17
MA 50HK$63.01
MA 200HK$55.44
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair ValueHK$5.19
Target PriceHK$68.22
Upside/Downside6.17%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.03%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.02
Volatility23.62%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.