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051915:KRXLG Chem, Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time

₩146,700.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

LG Chem trades at KRW 146,700, comfortably above the computed support of KRW 141,600 but far below the DCF‑derived fair value of roughly KRW 370,000, suggesting a sizable valuation gap. The stock’s RSI sits at 42, indicating a neutral momentum, while the MACD is bearish with the line well under the signal, and volume is on a decreasing trend, all pointing to limited short‑term upside.
Fundamentally, the company is under pressure: operating margin is –3.7%, net profit margin –4.0%, ROE –3.8%, and free cash flow is negative KRW 6.6 trillion despite a strong cash balance. Debt is high (KRW 33.8 trillion) with a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 71.8, and the dividend yield of 1.4% appears unsustainable given the cash‑flow strain. Recent shareholder activism targeting the “Korea Discount” adds a governance catalyst but does not immediately resolve the financial headwinds.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and neutral RSI signal weak momentum
  • Decreasing volume reduces price support
  • Negative earnings and cash‑flow metrics

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Potential upside from valuation gap if turnaround occurs
  • Shareholder activism may improve governance and capital allocation
  • Dividend yield provides modest income despite sustainability concerns

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • DCF fair value indicates substantial upside
  • Strategic position in high‑growth chemical and battery materials markets
  • Opportunity to reduce debt and improve cash‑flow generation over time

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Profit Margin-3.96%
ROE-3.78%
ROA-0.30%
Debt/Equity71.78
Op. Cash Flow₩8233.9B
Free Cash Flow₩-6601622683648

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI42.4
Support₩141,600.00
Resistance₩201,000.00
MA 20₩162,700.00
MA 50₩163,268.00
MA 200₩153,441.50
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair Value₩370,167.84
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.40%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.75
Volatility94.59%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.