051915:KRXLG Chem, Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time
₩146,700.00
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
LG Chem trades at KRW 146,700, comfortably above the computed support of KRW 141,600 but far below the DCF‑derived fair value of roughly KRW 370,000, suggesting a sizable valuation gap. The stock’s RSI sits at 42, indicating a neutral momentum, while the MACD is bearish with the line well under the signal, and volume is on a decreasing trend, all pointing to limited short‑term upside.
Fundamentally, the company is under pressure: operating margin is –3.7%, net profit margin –4.0%, ROE –3.8%, and free cash flow is negative KRW 6.6 trillion despite a strong cash balance. Debt is high (KRW 33.8 trillion) with a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 71.8, and the dividend yield of 1.4% appears unsustainable given the cash‑flow strain. Recent shareholder activism targeting the “Korea Discount” adds a governance catalyst but does not immediately resolve the financial headwinds.
Fundamentally, the company is under pressure: operating margin is –3.7%, net profit margin –4.0%, ROE –3.8%, and free cash flow is negative KRW 6.6 trillion despite a strong cash balance. Debt is high (KRW 33.8 trillion) with a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 71.8, and the dividend yield of 1.4% appears unsustainable given the cash‑flow strain. Recent shareholder activism targeting the “Korea Discount” adds a governance catalyst but does not immediately resolve the financial headwinds.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD and neutral RSI signal weak momentum
- Decreasing volume reduces price support
- Negative earnings and cash‑flow metrics
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Potential upside from valuation gap if turnaround occurs
- Shareholder activism may improve governance and capital allocation
- Dividend yield provides modest income despite sustainability concerns
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- DCF fair value indicates substantial upside
- Strategic position in high‑growth chemical and battery materials markets
- Opportunity to reduce debt and improve cash‑flow generation over time
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Profit Margin-3.96%
ROE-3.78%
ROA-0.30%
Debt/Equity71.78
Op. Cash Flow₩8233.9B
Free Cash Flow₩-6601622683648
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI42.4
Support₩141,600.00
Resistance₩201,000.00
MA 20₩162,700.00
MA 50₩163,268.00
MA 200₩153,441.50
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Fair Value₩370,167.84
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.40%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.75
Volatility94.59%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.