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033780:KRXKT&G Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

₩153,000.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

KT&G posted record revenue growth of roughly 10% in the latest quarter, reinforcing its position in the defensive consumer sector and supporting a robust dividend payout near 4%. The stock is trading comfortably above its 20‑day and 50‑day simple moving averages, indicating short‑term strength, while the broader trend remains bullish. A low beta underscores limited market‑wide volatility, yet the 30‑day price swing is elevated, reflecting sector‑specific dynamics. The forward P/E around 12 and a healthy dividend yield add value appeal, and analyst consensus leans strongly toward a buy.
However, the MACD has turned bearish, suggesting potential near‑term momentum weakness, and the DCF model points to a valuation gap that could limit upside. Regulatory scrutiny typical for tobacco firms presents a medium‑level risk, but the company’s diversified product portfolio and steady cash generation mitigate concerns. Overall, the blend of solid fundamentals, attractive yield, and modest upside potential supports a positive outlook.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • MACD bearish momentum
  • price near recent support
  • strong dividend yield

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • price above key moving averages
  • bullish overall trend direction
  • upside potential versus DCF fair value

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • defensive consumer sector positioning
  • sustainable dividend policy
  • diversified product mix and cash flow generation

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth10.10%
Profit Margin16.57%
P/E Ratio12.3
ROE11.80%
ROA5.97%
Debt/Equity19.74
Op. Cash Flow₩582.9B
Free Cash Flow₩-181129494528

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI41.6
Support₩148,000.00
Resistance₩181,500.00
MA 20₩165,025.00
MA 50₩154,422.00
MA 200₩139,780.00
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair Value₩75,321.83
Target Price₩191,850.00
Upside/Downside25.39%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.92%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.08
Volatility40.81%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.