033780:KRXKT&G Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time
₩153,000.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
KT&G posted record revenue growth of roughly 10% in the latest quarter, reinforcing its position in the defensive consumer sector and supporting a robust dividend payout near 4%. The stock is trading comfortably above its 20‑day and 50‑day simple moving averages, indicating short‑term strength, while the broader trend remains bullish. A low beta underscores limited market‑wide volatility, yet the 30‑day price swing is elevated, reflecting sector‑specific dynamics. The forward P/E around 12 and a healthy dividend yield add value appeal, and analyst consensus leans strongly toward a buy.
However, the MACD has turned bearish, suggesting potential near‑term momentum weakness, and the DCF model points to a valuation gap that could limit upside. Regulatory scrutiny typical for tobacco firms presents a medium‑level risk, but the company’s diversified product portfolio and steady cash generation mitigate concerns. Overall, the blend of solid fundamentals, attractive yield, and modest upside potential supports a positive outlook.
However, the MACD has turned bearish, suggesting potential near‑term momentum weakness, and the DCF model points to a valuation gap that could limit upside. Regulatory scrutiny typical for tobacco firms presents a medium‑level risk, but the company’s diversified product portfolio and steady cash generation mitigate concerns. Overall, the blend of solid fundamentals, attractive yield, and modest upside potential supports a positive outlook.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- MACD bearish momentum
- price near recent support
- strong dividend yield
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- price above key moving averages
- bullish overall trend direction
- upside potential versus DCF fair value
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- defensive consumer sector positioning
- sustainable dividend policy
- diversified product mix and cash flow generation
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth10.10%
Profit Margin16.57%
P/E Ratio12.3
ROE11.80%
ROA5.97%
Debt/Equity19.74
Op. Cash Flow₩582.9B
Free Cash Flow₩-181129494528
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI41.6
Support₩148,000.00
Resistance₩181,500.00
MA 20₩165,025.00
MA 50₩154,422.00
MA 200₩139,780.00
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Fair Value₩75,321.83
Target Price₩191,850.00
Upside/Downside25.39%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.92%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.08
Volatility40.81%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.