028670:KRXPan Ocean Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-07 - not real-time
₩5,250.00
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Pan Ocean is trading at 5,250 KRW, just above its 20‑day SMA of 5,237 and comfortably above the 50‑day (4,586) and 200‑day (4,073) averages, indicating a bullish price bias. The RSI of 52 is neutral, while the MACD histogram is negative, suggesting short‑term momentum weakness. Volume is on an upward trend, supporting the price advance. The stock sits near a technical support level around 4,675 KRW and faces resistance near 6,600 KRW, leaving roughly 9% upside to the 30‑day high. The Fear & Greed Index reads 68 (Greed), reflecting market optimism toward risk assets. A forward P/E of 6.5 versus an industry average of 29.4 points to significant relative cheapness.
The DCF‑derived fair value of ~6,198 KRW implies about 9% upside, reinforcing the undervalued label. Dividend yield stands at 2.86% with a payout ratio of 29%, supported by strong operating cash flow of 744.8 bn KRW and free cash flow of 471.6 bn KRW. However, the balance sheet is leveraged, with debt of 4.33 tn KRW and a debt‑to‑equity of 78, though cash holdings of 1.10 tn KRW provide a cushion. ROE of 4.1% and profit margin of 3.9% are modest, and revenue has slipped 0.6% year‑over‑year, tempering growth expectations. Volatility is high at 91% over the past 30 days, but beta is low (≈0.5), indicating limited market‑wide systematic risk. Given the valuation gap, dividend attractiveness, and improving market sentiment, a medium‑term buy stance is warranted, while short‑term investors may adopt a cautious hold pending MACD confirmation.
The DCF‑derived fair value of ~6,198 KRW implies about 9% upside, reinforcing the undervalued label. Dividend yield stands at 2.86% with a payout ratio of 29%, supported by strong operating cash flow of 744.8 bn KRW and free cash flow of 471.6 bn KRW. However, the balance sheet is leveraged, with debt of 4.33 tn KRW and a debt‑to‑equity of 78, though cash holdings of 1.10 tn KRW provide a cushion. ROE of 4.1% and profit margin of 3.9% are modest, and revenue has slipped 0.6% year‑over‑year, tempering growth expectations. Volatility is high at 91% over the past 30 days, but beta is low (≈0.5), indicating limited market‑wide systematic risk. Given the valuation gap, dividend attractiveness, and improving market sentiment, a medium‑term buy stance is warranted, while short‑term investors may adopt a cautious hold pending MACD confirmation.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price above short‑term moving averages
- Bearish MACD histogram
- High 30‑day volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation upside vs DCF and industry P/E
- Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
- Increasing trading volume and bullish market sentiment
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term demand for bulk and LNG shipping
- Low systematic beta reducing market‑wide risk
- Solid cash generation despite high leverage
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-0.60%
Profit Margin3.90%
P/E Ratio6.5
ROE4.14%
ROA3.04%
Debt/Equity77.99
Op. Cash Flow₩744.8B
Free Cash Flow₩471.6B
Industry P/E29.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI52.4
Support₩4,675.00
Resistance₩6,600.00
MA 20₩5,237.25
MA 50₩4,585.80
MA 200₩4,072.83
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index68.77
Valuation
Fair Value₩6,197.92
Target Price₩5,736.36
Upside/Downside9.26%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.86%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.53
Volatility91.56%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.