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023530:KRXLotte Shopping Co., Ltd Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time

₩102,100.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Lotte Shopping is trading at 102,100 KRW, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA (104,080) and 50‑day SMA (89,032), indicating a short‑term bullish bias despite a bearish MACD histogram. RSI sits at 55.6, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions, while the price respects a support zone near 89,600 KRW and faces resistance around 120,000 KRW. Volume is on a decreasing trend and 30‑day volatility is high at 74%, with market sentiment in an "Extreme Greed" phase (fear‑greed index 79.45).
Fundamentally, the company posted modest revenue growth of 1.3% and maintains a solid gross margin of 48.5%, yet profit margins are thin at 0.54% and ROE is only 0.44%. Debt is substantial (DE ratio 81.8) and the payout ratio is effectively zero, raising questions about the sustainability of the 3.9% dividend yield. The valuation appears attractive with a forward P/E of 9.5 and a price‑to‑sales multiple of 0.21, well below peers. Analyst consensus is a "Buy" with a median target of 120,000 KRW.
Given the blend of technical upside, attractive valuation, and high dividend yield, the stock is considered undervalued from a value perspective. However, high leverage, low profitability, and decreasing liquidity introduce medium‑to‑high risk. The recommendation leans toward buying on the medium term while maintaining a cautious hold in the short and long horizons.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price above 20‑day SMA indicating short‑term bullish bias
  • Decreasing volume and high volatility suggest caution
  • Support level near 89,600 KRW provides downside cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued valuation metrics (forward P/E 9.5, P/S 0.21)
  • Target median price of 120,000 KRW implies ~11% upside
  • Attractive dividend yield of 3.9% despite sustainability concerns

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • High debt load (DE ratio 81.8) limits long‑term financial flexibility
  • Thin profit margins and low ROE constrain earnings growth
  • Potential sector recovery in consumer cyclical space could improve outlook

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth1.30%
Profit Margin0.54%
P/E Ratio9.5
ROE0.44%
ROA0.89%
Debt/Equity81.83

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI55.6
Support₩89,600.00
Resistance₩120,000.00
MA 20₩104,080.00
MA 50₩89,032.00
MA 200₩76,198.50
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index79.45

Valuation

Target Price₩114,000.00
Upside/Downside11.66%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.90%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.06
Volatility74.34%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.