008930:KRXHanmi Science Co., Ltd Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time
₩38,150.00
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Hanmi Science trades well above its 20‑day SMA, which sits just above the 50‑day SMA, while the MACD line remains below its signal, indicating bearish momentum. The RSI hovers in the mid‑40s, suggesting the stock is not overbought but also lacks strong buying pressure. Volume trend is decreasing, hinting at waning participation, and the 30‑day volatility is approaching 100%, pointing to sizable price swings. A beta below 0.5 reflects lower systematic risk relative to the market. A DCF fair‑value estimate is far below the current price, implying the stock is overvalued. The balance sheet shows a high debt‑to‑equity ratio, raising concerns about leverage. Dividend yield is under 1% with a modest payout ratio, which appears sustainable given strong cash flow. Overall, the stock appears priced for risk, with limited upside in the near term.
Given these technical and valuation signals, a short‑term hold is prudent while monitoring volume and any earnings updates. The medium‑term stance remains neutral, supported by steady revenue growth and cash flow but tempered by leverage. For the long horizon, the overvaluation and debt profile suggest a sell outlook unless a catalyst re‑prices the risk.
Given these technical and valuation signals, a short‑term hold is prudent while monitoring volume and any earnings updates. The medium‑term stance remains neutral, supported by steady revenue growth and cash flow but tempered by leverage. For the long horizon, the overvaluation and debt profile suggest a sell outlook unless a catalyst re‑prices the risk.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD momentum
- Decreasing volume trend
- Current price far above DCF fair value
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Steady revenue growth
- Sustainable dividend yield
- High debt‑to‑equity ratio
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Significant overvaluation relative to intrinsic value
- Elevated leverage and balance‑sheet risk
- Lack of clear growth catalyst
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth7.10%
Profit Margin5.59%
ROE8.15%
ROA2.40%
Debt/Equity23.15
Op. Cash Flow₩73.2B
Free Cash Flow₩41.1B
Industry P/E26.3
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI45.5
Support₩0.00
Resistance₩55,500.00
MA 20₩40,820.00
MA 50₩40,414.00
MA 200₩40,466.00
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index81.73
Valuation
Fair Value₩9,361.60
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield0.82%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.48
Volatility99.74%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.