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008930:KRXHanmi Science Co., Ltd Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time

₩38,150.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Hanmi Science trades well above its 20‑day SMA, which sits just above the 50‑day SMA, while the MACD line remains below its signal, indicating bearish momentum. The RSI hovers in the mid‑40s, suggesting the stock is not overbought but also lacks strong buying pressure. Volume trend is decreasing, hinting at waning participation, and the 30‑day volatility is approaching 100%, pointing to sizable price swings. A beta below 0.5 reflects lower systematic risk relative to the market. A DCF fair‑value estimate is far below the current price, implying the stock is overvalued. The balance sheet shows a high debt‑to‑equity ratio, raising concerns about leverage. Dividend yield is under 1% with a modest payout ratio, which appears sustainable given strong cash flow. Overall, the stock appears priced for risk, with limited upside in the near term.
Given these technical and valuation signals, a short‑term hold is prudent while monitoring volume and any earnings updates. The medium‑term stance remains neutral, supported by steady revenue growth and cash flow but tempered by leverage. For the long horizon, the overvaluation and debt profile suggest a sell outlook unless a catalyst re‑prices the risk.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD momentum
  • Decreasing volume trend
  • Current price far above DCF fair value

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Steady revenue growth
  • Sustainable dividend yield
  • High debt‑to‑equity ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Significant overvaluation relative to intrinsic value
  • Elevated leverage and balance‑sheet risk
  • Lack of clear growth catalyst

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth7.10%
Profit Margin5.59%
ROE8.15%
ROA2.40%
Debt/Equity23.15
Op. Cash Flow₩73.2B
Free Cash Flow₩41.1B
Industry P/E26.3

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI45.5
Support₩0.00
Resistance₩55,500.00
MA 20₩40,820.00
MA 50₩40,414.00
MA 200₩40,466.00
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index81.73

Valuation

Fair Value₩9,361.60
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield0.82%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.48
Volatility99.74%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.