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006400:KRXSamsung SDI Co., Ltd Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-13 - not real-time

₩388,000.00

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Samsung SDI is trading at KRW 388,000, sitting just below its 20‑day SMA of 401,575 but comfortably above the 50‑day SMA of 356,960, indicating a mixed short‑term price signal. The 14‑day RSI of 49.7 suggests the stock is neither overbought nor oversold. A bearish MACD histogram of –5,130 points reinforces downside pressure despite the overall bullish trend flag. Volatility remains elevated at roughly 91% over the past 30 days, and the beta of 0.81 points to modest correlation with the broader market. The current price is above the calculated support of 348,500 and well under the 473,500 resistance, leaving room for upside if buying pressure resumes. The Fear & Greed Index reading of 72 (“Greed”) reflects prevailing market optimism toward the sector.
Fundamentally, Samsung SDI posted a modest 2.8% YoY revenue increase to KRW 13.27 trillion but recorded an operating loss of KRW 299 billion in Q4 FY2025, driving a negative profit margin of –4.9%. Operating cash flow remains positive at KRW 792 billion, yet free cash flow is deeply negative at –1.5 trillion, highlighting cash‑generation challenges. The balance sheet is leveraged, with total debt of KRW 11.07 trillion dwarfing cash of KRW 2.01 trillion (debt‑to‑equity ≈ 47). A forward P/E of 26.9 is slightly below the industry average of 29.2, suggesting the market may be pricing in a modest earnings recovery. Dividend yield sits at a low 0.36% with a zero payout ratio, raising concerns about dividend sustainability. Given the convergence of high volatility, earnings weakness, and a strategic position in the fast‑growing EV battery market, the stock presents a nuanced risk‑reward profile.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price hovering near support at 348,500
  • Bearish MACD histogram indicating short‑term downside
  • Elevated 30‑day volatility (~91%)

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Revenue growth of 2.8% YoY and exposure to EV battery demand
  • Forward P/E (26.9) modestly below industry average
  • Positive operating cash flow despite earnings loss

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic position in global lithium‑ion battery market
  • Long‑term secular tailwinds from EV and energy storage adoption
  • Potential for margin improvement and balance‑sheet deleveraging

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth2.80%
Profit Margin-4.90%
P/E Ratio26.9
ROE-3.88%
ROA-3.01%
Debt/Equity46.97
Op. Cash Flow₩792.4B
Free Cash Flow₩-1499648360448
Industry P/E29.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI49.7
Support₩348,500.00
Resistance₩473,500.00
MA 20₩401,575.00
MA 50₩356,960.00
MA 200₩259,947.50
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index72.36

Valuation

Target Price₩388,594.47
Upside/Downside0.15%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.36%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.81
Volatility90.93%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.