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004990:KRXLotte Corp Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-15 - not real-time

₩25,300.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

At KRW 25,300.00, LOTTE Corporation shows no decisive moving-average alignment, leaving the trend neutral. Across the trailing 30 sessions it gained 12.9%. Relative strength is 61.9 — approaching overbought — and the MACD signal is bullish. Recent trading has carved out support near KRW 22,250.00 and resistance around KRW 25,600.00.
Multiples put this in fair territory at a P/E of 43.5. Consensus targets land 52.2% above where the shares trade now. The 4.93% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
Risk comes out at 5 of a possible 10, a moderate reading. With 30-day volatility of 28.8%, a beta of 0.44 and a maximum drawdown of 43.9%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 91 on the fear-greed composite.
Near-term and long-term part ways here — hold short-term against sell longer out, with 5/10 conviction on the long call.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Trading below the 200-day average of 27396.00
  • MACD momentum is positive
  • 30-day price change of +12.9%

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Dividend yield of 4.93% looks stretched against payout coverage
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 27396.00
  • Analyst targets imply +52.2% versus the current price

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Dividend yield of 4.93% looks stretched against payout coverage
  • Negative profit margin of -2.6%
  • Analyst targets imply +52.2% versus the current price

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth1.20%
Profit Margin-2.56%
P/E Ratio43.5
ROE-3.76%
ROA0.69%
Debt/Equity95.64
Op. Cash Flow₩1312.2B
Free Cash Flow₩-191836405760

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI61.9
Support₩22,250.00
Resistance₩25,600.00
MA 20₩24,157.50
MA 50₩23,550.00
MA 200₩27,396.00
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.89

Valuation

Fair Value₩58,849.02
Target Price₩38,500.00
Upside/Downside52.17%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.93%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.44
Volatility28.75%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.