002916:SZSEShennan Circuit Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-18 - not real-time
CN¥334.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Shennan Circuits is trading at CNY 334, well below its 20‑day SMA of 421.12 but above the 50‑day SMA of 393.84, indicating a short‑term pull‑back within a longer‑term uptrend. The RSI of 36.8 suggests the stock is approaching oversold territory, while a bearish MACD (-7.54 line vs 5.38 signal) adds a note of caution. Support sits at 327.60 and volatility over the past 30 days is high at 84 %, meaning price swings could be sizable.
Fundamentally, revenue surged 38 % year‑over‑year and margins remain solid, yet the trailing PE of 64.1 dwarfs the industry average of 32.8, flagging clear overvaluation. The DCF‑derived fair value of roughly 123 implies a modest upside of about 9 % versus the current price, while a low payout ratio of 22 % and positive operating cash flow support dividend sustainability at a 0.72 % yield.
Fundamentally, revenue surged 38 % year‑over‑year and margins remain solid, yet the trailing PE of 64.1 dwarfs the industry average of 32.8, flagging clear overvaluation. The DCF‑derived fair value of roughly 123 implies a modest upside of about 9 % versus the current price, while a low payout ratio of 22 % and positive operating cash flow support dividend sustainability at a 0.72 % yield.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near strong support at 327.6
- High 30‑day volatility (84 %)
- Bearish MACD signal
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Robust revenue growth of 38 %
- Forward PE compressing to ~30.6
- Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strategic position in fast‑growing electronic components sector
- Strong operating cash flow despite negative free cash flow
- Potential valuation re‑rating as market recognizes growth trajectory
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth37.90%
Profit Margin14.28%
P/E Ratio64.1
ROE21.87%
ROA8.41%
Debt/Equity21.30
P/B Ratio12.6
Op. Cash FlowCN¥3.5B
Free Cash FlowCN¥-552560448
Industry P/E32.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI36.8
SupportCN¥327.60
ResistanceCN¥484.57
MA 20CN¥421.12
MA 50CN¥393.84
MA 200CN¥273.43
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index87.91
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥122.97
Target PriceCN¥365.26
Upside/Downside9.36%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.72%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.56
Volatility84.46%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.