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002916:SZSEShennan Circuit Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-18 - not real-time

CN¥334.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Shennan Circuits is trading at CNY 334, well below its 20‑day SMA of 421.12 but above the 50‑day SMA of 393.84, indicating a short‑term pull‑back within a longer‑term uptrend. The RSI of 36.8 suggests the stock is approaching oversold territory, while a bearish MACD (-7.54 line vs 5.38 signal) adds a note of caution. Support sits at 327.60 and volatility over the past 30 days is high at 84 %, meaning price swings could be sizable.
Fundamentally, revenue surged 38 % year‑over‑year and margins remain solid, yet the trailing PE of 64.1 dwarfs the industry average of 32.8, flagging clear overvaluation. The DCF‑derived fair value of roughly 123 implies a modest upside of about 9 % versus the current price, while a low payout ratio of 22 % and positive operating cash flow support dividend sustainability at a 0.72 % yield.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near strong support at 327.6
  • High 30‑day volatility (84 %)
  • Bearish MACD signal

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Robust revenue growth of 38 %
  • Forward PE compressing to ~30.6
  • Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic position in fast‑growing electronic components sector
  • Strong operating cash flow despite negative free cash flow
  • Potential valuation re‑rating as market recognizes growth trajectory

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth37.90%
Profit Margin14.28%
P/E Ratio64.1
ROE21.87%
ROA8.41%
Debt/Equity21.30
P/B Ratio12.6
Op. Cash FlowCN¥3.5B
Free Cash FlowCN¥-552560448
Industry P/E32.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI36.8
SupportCN¥327.60
ResistanceCN¥484.57
MA 20CN¥421.12
MA 50CN¥393.84
MA 200CN¥273.43
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index87.91

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥122.97
Target PriceCN¥365.26
Upside/Downside9.36%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.72%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.56
Volatility84.46%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.