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002714:SZSEMuyuan Foods Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-28 - not real-time

CN¥37.05

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical outlook: The stock is trading well below its short‑term and long‑term moving averages, with the RSI signaling a deep oversold condition and the MACD displaying bearish momentum. Price is hovering near a key support level while volatility remains elevated and beta is near zero, suggesting limited correlation with broader market moves.
Fundamental backdrop: Earnings are projected to improve sharply, reflected in a forward earnings multiple that is considerably more attractive than the trailing figure, and analysts have a strong‑buy consensus with price targets above the current level. However, a discounted cash‑flow model places intrinsic value well below the market price, indicating potential overvaluation. The dividend yield is high but the payout ratio is elevated, raising questions about long‑term sustainability despite solid cash‑flow generation and a sizable debt load.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • RSI in oversold territory
  • price at technical support
  • bearish MACD momentum

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Forward earnings growth expectations
  • Attractive forward price‑to‑earnings multiple
  • Strong analyst consensus with upside targets

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • High debt‑to‑equity ratio
  • Dividend payout sustainability concerns
  • DCF valuation suggests overvaluation

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-17.10%
Profit Margin7.09%
P/E Ratio20.6
ROE11.86%
ROA4.43%
Debt/Equity80.06
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash FlowCN¥21.6B
Free Cash FlowCN¥14.4B

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI24.4
SupportCN¥36.75
ResistanceCN¥45.39
MA 20CN¥41.51
MA 50CN¥43.62
MA 200CN¥48.06
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.89

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥23.20
Target PriceCN¥56.88
Upside/Downside53.52%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield5.11%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.07
Volatility29.48%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.