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002407:SZSEDo-Fluoride New Materials Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-07 - not real-time

CN¥28.61

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Do‑Fluoride New Materials trades at a forward price‑to‑earnings multiple of 220, which is dramatically higher than its modest 5.2% revenue growth and a negative profit margin of -3.07%. The stock’s price of 28.61 CNY sits below both the 20‑day SMA (29.52) and the 50‑day SMA (31.09), while the MACD is in a bearish configuration and the RSI at 41.8 indicates limited upside momentum. Volatility over the past 30 days is elevated at 42%, yet the computed beta of 0.07 suggests the share moves largely independent of the broader market. Cash on hand exceeds debt, but the debt‑to‑equity ratio of nearly 70 underscores a leveraged balance sheet. The dividend yield of 0.7% appears unsustainable given a trailing EPS of –0.21 and a payout ratio of 0.
Looking ahead, the company’s exposure to lithium‑ion battery chemicals offers a potential growth catalyst, but regulatory scrutiny in the chemicals sector and China‑specific policy risk temper optimism. The technical picture remains neutral, with a stable volume trend but bearish momentum, leading to a cautious stance. Overall, the stock is priced for expectations that are not yet reflected in earnings, and the high valuation combined with weak profitability signals heightened downside risk.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD histogram
  • Price below short‑term moving averages
  • Extreme forward PE of 220

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Stable trading volume
  • Modest revenue growth of 5.2%
  • Potential upside of ~5% per upside/downside metric

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic position in lithium‑ion battery materials
  • Strong cash position versus debt
  • Regulatory and environmental exposure in chemicals industry

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth5.20%
Profit Margin-3.07%
P/E Ratio220.1
ROE-3.93%
ROA-0.50%
Debt/Equity69.58
P/B Ratio4.0
Op. Cash FlowCN¥679.4M
Free Cash FlowCN¥51.6M

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI41.8
SupportCN¥27.70
ResistanceCN¥32.50
MA 20CN¥29.52
MA 50CN¥31.09
MA 200CN¥21.50
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index68.77

Valuation

Target PriceCN¥30.00
Upside/Downside4.86%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield0.70%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.07
Volatility42.07%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.