002407:SZSEDo-Fluoride New Materials Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-07 - not real-time
CN¥28.61
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Do‑Fluoride New Materials trades at a forward price‑to‑earnings multiple of 220, which is dramatically higher than its modest 5.2% revenue growth and a negative profit margin of -3.07%. The stock’s price of 28.61 CNY sits below both the 20‑day SMA (29.52) and the 50‑day SMA (31.09), while the MACD is in a bearish configuration and the RSI at 41.8 indicates limited upside momentum. Volatility over the past 30 days is elevated at 42%, yet the computed beta of 0.07 suggests the share moves largely independent of the broader market. Cash on hand exceeds debt, but the debt‑to‑equity ratio of nearly 70 underscores a leveraged balance sheet. The dividend yield of 0.7% appears unsustainable given a trailing EPS of –0.21 and a payout ratio of 0.
Looking ahead, the company’s exposure to lithium‑ion battery chemicals offers a potential growth catalyst, but regulatory scrutiny in the chemicals sector and China‑specific policy risk temper optimism. The technical picture remains neutral, with a stable volume trend but bearish momentum, leading to a cautious stance. Overall, the stock is priced for expectations that are not yet reflected in earnings, and the high valuation combined with weak profitability signals heightened downside risk.
Looking ahead, the company’s exposure to lithium‑ion battery chemicals offers a potential growth catalyst, but regulatory scrutiny in the chemicals sector and China‑specific policy risk temper optimism. The technical picture remains neutral, with a stable volume trend but bearish momentum, leading to a cautious stance. Overall, the stock is priced for expectations that are not yet reflected in earnings, and the high valuation combined with weak profitability signals heightened downside risk.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD histogram
- Price below short‑term moving averages
- Extreme forward PE of 220
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Stable trading volume
- Modest revenue growth of 5.2%
- Potential upside of ~5% per upside/downside metric
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Strategic position in lithium‑ion battery materials
- Strong cash position versus debt
- Regulatory and environmental exposure in chemicals industry
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth5.20%
Profit Margin-3.07%
P/E Ratio220.1
ROE-3.93%
ROA-0.50%
Debt/Equity69.58
P/B Ratio4.0
Op. Cash FlowCN¥679.4M
Free Cash FlowCN¥51.6M
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI41.8
SupportCN¥27.70
ResistanceCN¥32.50
MA 20CN¥29.52
MA 50CN¥31.09
MA 200CN¥21.50
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index68.77
Valuation
Target PriceCN¥30.00
Upside/Downside4.86%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield0.70%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.07
Volatility42.07%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.