002353:SZSEYantai Jereh Oilfield Services Group Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time
CN¥100.70
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Yantai Jereh is trading well above its DCF‑derived fair value of roughly CNY 53, with the market price near CNY 101 and a trailing PE of about 36 versus an industry average of 22, indicating a significant premium. Revenue growth of 14% and solid operating margins support the current valuation, yet the stock’s price sits near the 20‑day SMA (CNY 110) and below the 50‑day SMA, reflecting mixed momentum. The MACD shows a bearish crossover and the RSI hovers around the mid‑40s, suggesting limited upside in the near term despite a bullish overall trend direction. Volatility is elevated at over 70% on a 30‑day basis, and the beta of 0.62 points to lower systematic risk, but the high price swing adds short‑term uncertainty. Liquidity is strong, with volume rising and daily turnover exceeding average levels. The company pays a modest dividend yield of 0.8% with a payout ratio under 35%, making the dividend sustainable given robust operating cash flow. Diversification into new‑energy and environmental services provides a growth narrative that may narrow the valuation gap over time. However, the sector’s cyclical nature and China‑centric exposure introduce medium‑level regulatory and geographic risks. In sum, the stock is overvalued on a pure valuation basis, but its strong fundamentals and dividend sustainability temper the downside, positioning it as a hold‑to‑buy candidate for longer horizons.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD crossover signaling limited upside
- High short‑term volatility
- Price trading above support but below resistance
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Consistent revenue growth and solid cash generation
- Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
- Valuation premium still present but fundamentals supportive
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Diversification into new‑energy and environmental services
- Strong balance sheet with modest debt and ample liquidity
- Growth trajectory may eventually justify current premium
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth13.90%
Profit Margin18.04%
P/E Ratio36.0
ROE13.20%
ROA5.02%
Debt/Equity21.93
P/B Ratio4.6
Op. Cash FlowCN¥4.1B
Free Cash FlowCN¥2.1B
Industry P/E22.3
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI46.0
SupportCN¥86.81
ResistanceCN¥129.99
MA 20CN¥109.84
MA 50CN¥93.21
MA 200CN¥58.82
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index78.18
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥53.66
Target PriceCN¥80.91
Upside/Downside-19.66%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.83%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.62
Volatility74.17%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.