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002353:SZSEYantai Jereh Oilfield Services Group Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time

CN¥144.90

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Yantai Jereh is trading at CNY 144.9, just above its 20‑day SMA of 143.09 and well above the 50‑day SMA of 131.71, indicating short‑term bullish momentum, yet the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, suggesting weakening upward pressure. Volatility is high at 65% over the past 30 days and beta is modest (~0.5), so price swings are pronounced but not strongly correlated with the market. The stock’s trailing PE of 52.7 dwarfs the industry average of 21.5, and the DCF‑derived fair value of ~34.3 CNY implies the market is pricing in a massive premium, leaving only a modest 3% upside to target prices. Fundamentally, revenue is expanding at 22.5% YoY, operating margins sit at 23%, and ROE is 12% while the dividend yield is 0.59% with a comfortable 30% payout ratio. The combination of strong earnings growth and a sustainable dividend is offset by the stark overvaluation, making the stock attractive for long‑term investors who can tolerate the current price premium but less compelling for short‑term traders seeking near‑term price appreciation.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD histogram
  • Price near resistance at 162.98 CNY
  • PE far above industry average

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Revenue growth of 22.5% YoY
  • Forward EPS suggests earnings upside
  • Sustainable dividend payout

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Diversification into new‑energy recycling
  • Strong cash position versus debt
  • Long‑term energy demand

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth22.50%
Profit Margin16.66%
P/E Ratio52.7
ROE12.19%
ROA5.56%
Debt/Equity21.13
P/B Ratio6.3
Op. Cash FlowCN¥3.0B
Free Cash FlowCN¥906.4M
Industry P/E21.5

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI53.2
SupportCN¥130.75
ResistanceCN¥162.98
MA 20CN¥143.09
MA 50CN¥131.71
MA 200CN¥85.62
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥34.29
Target PriceCN¥149.40
Upside/Downside3.11%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.59%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.50
Volatility65.01%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.