002326:SZSEZhejiang Yongtai Technology Co.,Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-12 - not real-time
CN¥23.70
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Zhejiang Yongtai trades at 23.7 CNY, which sits below its 20‑day (25.44) and 50‑day (26.07) simple moving averages but remains above the 200‑day SMA (19.12), indicating a short‑term pull‑back within a longer‑term uptrend. The RSI of 41 reflects neutral momentum, while a bearish MACD (line –0.98 vs signal –0.79) and a negative histogram suggest further downside pressure. Volume is rising and the 30‑day volatility is elevated at ~65%, yet the computed beta of 0.25 points to low systematic risk. On the fundamentals side, revenue is growing at 18 % year‑over‑year, but the company posts a ‑6.7 % profit margin, negative ROE, and a staggering Debt‑to‑Equity of 155, dwarfing its cash reserves. The DCF‑derived fair value of ≈1.35 CNY versus the market price signals a massive overvaluation, reinforced by a price‑to‑book near 8× and no dividend payout. Recent news that the firm terminated a planned share issuance removes immediate dilution risk but also highlights prior financing strain. Overall, the stock faces a blend of growth potential in new‑energy materials against a backdrop of weak earnings, high leverage, and technical weakness.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Price below short‑term SMAs
- Bearish MACD histogram
- High short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth (18%)
- Elevated debt burden
- Valuation gap remains wide
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Persistent negative profitability
- Unsustainable leverage
- DCF fair value far below market price
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth18.30%
Profit Margin-6.74%
P/E Ratio7.3
ROE-12.61%
ROA-1.23%
Debt/Equity155.43
P/B Ratio8.0
Op. Cash FlowCN¥259.6M
Free Cash FlowCN¥-101963368
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI41.3
SupportCN¥21.76
ResistanceCN¥28.77
MA 20CN¥25.44
MA 50CN¥26.07
MA 200CN¥19.12
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index76.36
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥1.35
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta0.25
Volatility64.87%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.