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002202:SZSEGoldwind Science&Technology Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

CN¥31.43

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Goldwind Science&Technology is riding a strong bullish technical setup, with price firmly above both its short‑term and mid‑term moving averages and a bullish MACD histogram. The RSI is in the upper range, suggesting momentum remains robust but caution is warranted as it approaches overbought territory. Fundamentally, the stock trades at a price‑earnings multiple well above the industry average and above its discounted cash‑flow estimate, indicating a significant valuation premium. Revenue growth is solid and the dividend payout is modest, supporting cash‑flow sustainability, yet the balance sheet is heavily levered and an EU investigation adds regulatory pressure.
Given the mix of strong short‑term momentum, elevated valuation, and emerging regulatory headwinds, investors should weigh the upside from renewable‑energy demand against the downside from valuation gaps and potential compliance costs.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price well above fair‑value estimate
  • EU regulatory probe
  • high short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • sustained revenue growth
  • modest dividend payout
  • valuation still above peers

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • long‑term renewable‑energy demand
  • market leadership in wind technology
  • improving cash‑flow profile

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth25.40%
Profit Margin3.84%
P/E Ratio51.5
ROE6.53%
ROA0.88%
Debt/Equity97.30
P/B Ratio3.5
Op. Cash FlowCN¥8.2B
Free Cash FlowCN¥3.8B
Industry P/E29.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI67.7
SupportCN¥24.76
ResistanceCN¥33.00
MA 20CN¥27.54
MA 50CN¥26.81
MA 200CN¥16.05
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥26.02
Target PriceCN¥20.85
Upside/Downside-33.65%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.45%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.24
Volatility62.33%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.