002195:SZSEShanghai Stonehill Technology Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time
CN¥10.08
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Technical outlook: The stock is trading near a key support level around 9.35 CNY and shows a bullish trend direction despite a marginally bearish MACD histogram and a neutral RSI near 50. Volume has remained stable, and the computed beta of roughly 0.3 suggests limited market‑wide price sensitivity, though recent 30‑day volatility exceeds 50%, indicating short‑term price swings.
Fundamental outlook: Valuation metrics are extreme, with a trailing P/E far above the industry average and a DCF‑derived fair value under 3 CNY, implying the market price is significantly overvalued. Margins are weak, operating cash flow is negative, and the company carries modest debt, while earnings per share are expected to improve modestly forward. No dividend is paid, and the sector faces heightened regulatory scrutiny in China. Overall, the stock’s price momentum is not supported by its underlying financial health, suggesting caution for investors.
Fundamental outlook: Valuation metrics are extreme, with a trailing P/E far above the industry average and a DCF‑derived fair value under 3 CNY, implying the market price is significantly overvalued. Margins are weak, operating cash flow is negative, and the company carries modest debt, while earnings per share are expected to improve modestly forward. No dividend is paid, and the sector faces heightened regulatory scrutiny in China. Overall, the stock’s price momentum is not supported by its underlying financial health, suggesting caution for investors.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- price hovering near technical support
- stable trading volume but high short‑term volatility
- overvaluation not yet reflected in price movement
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- persistent negative operating cash flow
- modest forward EPS improvement insufficient to justify current price
- ongoing regulatory environment for internet services in China
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- fundamental financial weakness and poor profitability
- DCF fair value far below market price
- high sector and regulatory risks outweigh potential AI‑related growth
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth3.50%
Profit Margin26.77%
P/E Ratio336.0
ROE0.48%
ROA-2.93%
Debt/Equity0.77
P/B Ratio5.7
Op. Cash FlowCN¥-332085280
Free Cash FlowCN¥454.6M
Industry P/E34.2
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI48.3
SupportCN¥9.35
ResistanceCN¥11.17
MA 20CN¥10.36
MA 50CN¥9.93
MA 200CN¥7.48
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index79.45
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥2.51
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta0.29
Volatility59.42%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.