002049:SZSEUnigroup Guoxin Microelectronics Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time
CN¥71.51
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Unigroup Guoxin Microelectronics is generating robust revenue growth and maintains healthy gross and operating margins, suggesting a solid operating foundation. The stock trades well above its discounted cash‑flow estimate, with a price‑to‑earnings multiple that aligns with the broader semiconductor sector but appears stretched relative to intrinsic value. Technical indicators show the price sitting below the short‑term moving average, a mid‑range RSI and a bearish MACD divergence, while volume has been tapering, hinting at short‑term pressure.
The company benefits from a diversified product suite spanning smart cards, power devices and automotive chips, and it enjoys low leverage and a modest dividend payout that appears sustainable. Alternative‑data signals around hiring activity indicate a competitive stance in the talent market, which could support continued innovation. However, the sector’s cyclical nature, regulatory environment in China and elevated volatility temper the upside, making a cautious stance prudent.
The company benefits from a diversified product suite spanning smart cards, power devices and automotive chips, and it enjoys low leverage and a modest dividend payout that appears sustainable. Alternative‑data signals around hiring activity indicate a competitive stance in the talent market, which could support continued innovation. However, the sector’s cyclical nature, regulatory environment in China and elevated volatility temper the upside, making a cautious stance prudent.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- bearish MACD histogram
- price below the 20‑day moving average
- declining trading volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- strong revenue growth and margin profile
- low beta indicating limited price swings
- valuation gap between market price and intrinsic estimate
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- expanding semiconductor product portfolio targeting AI and automotive markets
- government support for domestic chip development
- sustainable dividend and solid cash position
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth46.10%
Profit Margin24.96%
P/E Ratio36.5
ROE12.36%
ROA5.22%
Debt/Equity12.88
P/B Ratio4.3
Op. Cash FlowCN¥633.8M
Free Cash FlowCN¥-740231744
Industry P/E36.8
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI41.1
SupportCN¥69.61
ResistanceCN¥89.53
MA 20CN¥77.93
MA 50CN¥74.90
MA 200CN¥77.79
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥21.22
Target PriceCN¥95.51
Upside/Downside33.56%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.29%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.19
Volatility55.57%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.