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002038:SZSEBeijing SL Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-16 - not real-time

CN¥6.14

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Beijing SL Pharmaceutical is trading at CNY 6.14, well below its 20‑day SMA of 6.35 and far under the 50‑day (7.09) and 200‑day (7.45) averages, signalling a bearish price trend. RSI at 33 suggests the stock is oversold, while the MACD histogram is positive and the signal line is deemed bullish, hinting at a possible short‑term bounce near the support of 6.02. However, the PE ratio of 76.75 dwarfs the industry average of 26, and the DCF‑derived fair value of just 1.92 CNY underscores a severe valuation gap. The company’s fundamentals are weak: profit margin is modest at 14.5%, ROE barely 1.5%, and free cash flow is deeply negative, despite a debt‑free balance sheet. Volatility is high at 43% over the past 30 days, and the max drawdown of nearly 30% reflects substantial price risk. The beta of 0.11 indicates low systematic risk, but the sector’s regulatory environment in China adds a medium‑high layer of uncertainty. Dividend yield is only 0.33% with a payout ratio below 25%, raising questions about long‑term sustainability. Overall, market sentiment is in “Greed” mode per the Fear & Greed Index, but the underlying metrics suggest the price is stretched and may correct toward its intrinsic value.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Oversold RSI near support level
  • Bullish MACD histogram despite bearish trend
  • High valuation gap with industry peers

Medium Term

1–3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • PE far above industry average
  • Negative free cash flow and weak profitability
  • DCF fair value far below current price

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained overvaluation and limited growth prospects
  • Regulatory and sector headwinds in Chinese pharma
  • Persistent cash flow deficits and low ROE

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth3.60%
Profit Margin14.48%
P/E Ratio76.8
ROE1.47%
ROA-0.20%
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash FlowCN¥91.8M
Free Cash FlowCN¥-581117504
Industry P/E26.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI33.3
SupportCN¥6.02
ResistanceCN¥6.72
MA 20CN¥6.35
MA 50CN¥7.09
MA 200CN¥7.45
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥1.92
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield0.33%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.11
Volatility43.41%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.