001965:SZSEChina Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings Co.,Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time
CN¥10.25
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
China Merchants Expressway Network trades around 10.25 CNY, offering a dividend yield of over 4% and a price‑earnings multiple well below the industry average, indicating a clear valuation gap. The stock shows bullish technical momentum with a positive MACD histogram, RSI in the upper‑mid range, and rising volume, while holding above its recent support level and approaching a modest resistance ceiling. Fundamentally, the company maintains solid gross and operating margins, robust operating cash flow, and a payout ratio near 56%, supporting the sustainability of its dividend. However, a high debt‑to‑equity ratio and a slight decline in revenue growth temper enthusiasm, though ample cash balances provide a cushion.
Analyst consensus leans strongly toward a buy, with target prices suggesting upside of roughly 27%. The combination of undervaluation, attractive yield, and stable cash generation makes the stock appealing for income‑focused investors, while the modest beta and low volatility suggest limited price turbulence in the near term.
Analyst consensus leans strongly toward a buy, with target prices suggesting upside of roughly 27%. The combination of undervaluation, attractive yield, and stable cash generation makes the stock appealing for income‑focused investors, while the modest beta and low volatility suggest limited price turbulence in the near term.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD signal with positive histogram
- High dividend yield relative to peers
- Current price below calculated fair value
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation upside to analyst target
- Strong cash flow supporting dividend and debt servicing
- Stable operating margins despite modest revenue dip
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term demand for expressway infrastructure in China
- Consistent dividend payouts enhancing total return
- Low beta and modest volatility indicating defensive profile
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-1.70%
Profit Margin41.94%
P/E Ratio13.9
ROE6.41%
ROA1.01%
Debt/Equity66.32
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash FlowCN¥6.6B
Free Cash FlowCN¥4.2B
Industry P/E29.3
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI66.2
SupportCN¥9.40
ResistanceCN¥10.30
MA 20CN¥9.81
MA 50CN¥9.74
MA 200CN¥10.64
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index79.45
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥1.09
Target PriceCN¥13.05
Upside/Downside27.32%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.07%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.05
Volatility18.41%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.