001965:SZSEChina Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings Co.,Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-08 - not real-time
CN¥9.62
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The moving-average structure behind China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings Co.,Ltd. is bearish at ¥9.62, with short-term averages lagging the long-term ones. Over a rolling month the price has lost 8.4%. With RSI at 48.2 the momentum picture is neutral, alongside a bullish MACD signal. Price has been bracketed by support at ¥9.05 and resistance at ¥9.98.
Valuation screens as undervalued: a P/E of 14.6 sits below the sector average of 28.4. Consensus targets land 14.9% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 26.8% on a 31.7% profit margin. The 3.81% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 4 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 26.1%, a beta of -0.13 and a maximum drawdown of 17.1%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
This one splits by horizon — hold in the near term, buy further out, at 6/10 long-term conviction.
Valuation screens as undervalued: a P/E of 14.6 sits below the sector average of 28.4. Consensus targets land 14.9% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 26.8% on a 31.7% profit margin. The 3.81% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 4 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 26.1%, a beta of -0.13 and a maximum drawdown of 17.1%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
This one splits by horizon — hold in the near term, buy further out, at 6/10 long-term conviction.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 9.74
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- P/E of 14.6 versus sector average of 28.4
- Trading below the 200-day average of 9.74
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 14.6 versus sector average of 28.4
- Analyst targets imply +14.9% versus the current price
- Profit margin of 31.7% is healthy
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth26.80%
Profit Margin31.66%
P/E Ratio14.6
ROE5.68%
ROA1.00%
Debt/Equity57.37
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash FlowCN¥6.3B
Free Cash FlowCN¥2.8B
Industry P/E28.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI48.2
SupportCN¥9.05
ResistanceCN¥9.98
MA 20CN¥9.52
MA 50CN¥9.70
MA 200CN¥9.74
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index93.66
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥8.03
Target PriceCN¥11.06
Upside/Downside14.92%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.81%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.13
Volatility26.13%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.