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001965:SZSEChina Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings Co.,Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-24 - not real-time

CN¥10.01

Latest Price

3/10Risk

Risk Level: Low

Executive Summary

China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings trades well below its DCF fair value, offering a clear upside potential. The stock’s price sits above a solid support level while the 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages are tightly clustered, indicating a stable price base. A bullish MACD histogram and an RSI comfortably above the neutral zone suggest continued buying momentum.
Fundamentally, the company delivers a dividend yield that ranks among the highest in the industrials space, supported by strong free cash flow and a payout ratio that leaves room for sustainability. Valuation multiples such as the PE ratio and price‑to‑book are markedly lower than the industry average, reflecting an undervalued position. Combined with low beta and modest volatility, the stock presents an attractive risk‑adjusted profile for investors seeking both income and capital appreciation.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD and RSI indicating momentum
  • Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
  • Price near strong support level

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Valuation gap to DCF fair value
  • Robust revenue growth and operating margins
  • Low beta and stable volatility

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term infrastructure demand in China
  • Consistent free cash flow generation
  • High dividend yield with strong cash coverage

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth26.90%
Profit Margin32.80%
P/E Ratio15.2
ROE5.57%
ROA1.02%
Debt/Equity60.02
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash FlowCN¥6.4B
Free Cash FlowCN¥3.9B
Industry P/E29.7

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI61.3
SupportCN¥9.19
ResistanceCN¥10.15
MA 20CN¥9.66
MA 50CN¥9.65
MA 200CN¥10.06
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.61

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥13.65
Target PriceCN¥11.28
Upside/Downside12.69%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.17%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.15
Volatility19.63%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.