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001965:SZSEChina Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings Co.,Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time

CN¥10.25

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

China Merchants Expressway Network trades around 10.25 CNY, offering a dividend yield of over 4% and a price‑earnings multiple well below the industry average, indicating a clear valuation gap. The stock shows bullish technical momentum with a positive MACD histogram, RSI in the upper‑mid range, and rising volume, while holding above its recent support level and approaching a modest resistance ceiling. Fundamentally, the company maintains solid gross and operating margins, robust operating cash flow, and a payout ratio near 56%, supporting the sustainability of its dividend. However, a high debt‑to‑equity ratio and a slight decline in revenue growth temper enthusiasm, though ample cash balances provide a cushion.
Analyst consensus leans strongly toward a buy, with target prices suggesting upside of roughly 27%. The combination of undervaluation, attractive yield, and stable cash generation makes the stock appealing for income‑focused investors, while the modest beta and low volatility suggest limited price turbulence in the near term.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD signal with positive histogram
  • High dividend yield relative to peers
  • Current price below calculated fair value

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation upside to analyst target
  • Strong cash flow supporting dividend and debt servicing
  • Stable operating margins despite modest revenue dip

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term demand for expressway infrastructure in China
  • Consistent dividend payouts enhancing total return
  • Low beta and modest volatility indicating defensive profile

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-1.70%
Profit Margin41.94%
P/E Ratio13.9
ROE6.41%
ROA1.01%
Debt/Equity66.32
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash FlowCN¥6.6B
Free Cash FlowCN¥4.2B
Industry P/E29.3

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI66.2
SupportCN¥9.40
ResistanceCN¥10.30
MA 20CN¥9.81
MA 50CN¥9.74
MA 200CN¥10.64
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index79.45

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥1.09
Target PriceCN¥13.05
Upside/Downside27.32%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.07%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.05
Volatility18.41%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.