000983:SSEShanxi Coking Coal Energy Group Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-27 - not real-time
CN¥6.59
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Technical outlook: The stock is trading below its short‑term and mid‑term moving averages, with a neutral‑to‑slightly bearish momentum indicator and a bearish MACD histogram. Volume has been on a downtrend, suggesting waning buying pressure.
Fundamental outlook: Valuation metrics show a price‑to‑earnings multiple higher than the sector average, while the forward earnings multiple is markedly lower, indicating expectations of earnings acceleration. The dividend yield is attractive, but the payout ratio exceeds earnings, raising sustainability concerns. Cash balances are modest relative to debt, and the company carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio. Analyst consensus leans bullish, but market sentiment is at an extreme greed level, which may be overstating short‑term optimism.
Fundamental outlook: Valuation metrics show a price‑to‑earnings multiple higher than the sector average, while the forward earnings multiple is markedly lower, indicating expectations of earnings acceleration. The dividend yield is attractive, but the payout ratio exceeds earnings, raising sustainability concerns. Cash balances are modest relative to debt, and the company carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio. Analyst consensus leans bullish, but market sentiment is at an extreme greed level, which may be overstating short‑term optimism.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- bearish technical positioning
- declining trading volume
- questionable dividend sustainability
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- significant earnings upside implied by forward PE
- analyst buy consensus
- potential upside relative to discounted cash‑flow estimate
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- exposure to coal sector regulatory shifts
- moderate leverage with ample cash flow
- steady dividend yield despite payout concerns
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-1.80%
Profit Margin3.59%
P/E Ratio28.7
ROE3.95%
ROA2.04%
Debt/Equity58.43
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash FlowCN¥4.6B
Free Cash FlowCN¥4.0B
Industry P/E20.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI46.7
SupportCN¥6.35
ResistanceCN¥7.33
MA 20CN¥6.75
MA 50CN¥6.75
MA 200CN¥6.99
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.86
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥6.20
Target PriceCN¥7.47
Upside/Downside13.40%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.90%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.00
Volatility30.35%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.