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000975:SZSEShanjin International Gold Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-29 - not real-time

CN¥22.45

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Shanjin International Gold is trading well below its discounted cash‑flow estimate, suggesting a substantial upside opportunity. The company delivers robust revenue growth, high operating margins and strong cash generation, while maintaining a modest payout ratio that supports its dividend. Its balance sheet shows ample cash relative to debt, and the low leverage further underpins financial resilience. The valuation metrics point to an undervalued status, with the market price sitting far beneath intrinsic value estimates.
Technical indicators are mixed: the MACD is in a bullish configuration and the RSI sits in a neutral zone, yet the price remains under the long‑term moving average, indicating a lingering bearish bias. Volume has been stable, and the stock sits near a key resistance level, implying that a breakout could trigger a rally. Overall, the fundamentals are strong, the dividend appears sustainable, and the upside potential aligns with a growth‑oriented investment thesis.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • bullish MACD histogram
  • significant valuation upside
  • stable trading volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • strong revenue and earnings growth
  • sustainable dividend payout
  • low leverage and strong cash position

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • long‑term demand for gold and precious metals
  • near‑zero beta reducing market‑wide volatility exposure
  • consistent free cash flow generation

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth37.40%
Profit Margin19.62%
P/E Ratio17.0
ROE23.89%
ROA15.98%
Debt/Equity9.55
P/B Ratio3.8
Op. Cash FlowCN¥6.2B
Free Cash FlowCN¥3.3B

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI59.1
SupportCN¥17.16
ResistanceCN¥23.66
MA 20CN¥20.32
MA 50CN¥20.89
MA 200CN¥25.30
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index88.8

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥43.49
Target PriceCN¥41.30
Upside/Downside83.96%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield2.19%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.02
Volatility71.58%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.