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000963:SSEHuadong Medicine Co., Ltd Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-04 - not real-time

CN¥27.84

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Huadong Medicine is trading at CNY 27.84, barely above its technical support of CNY 27.80 and well below its 20‑day SMA of 30.30, indicating a bearish price environment. The 14‑day RSI sits at 18, signaling oversold conditions, while the MACD remains in a bearish configuration and volume trends downward, suggesting limited buying pressure. Volatility is elevated at roughly 24% over the past 30 days, yet the stock’s beta is exceptionally low (≈0.11), implying limited market‑wide risk exposure.
Fundamentally, the company trades at a forward P/E of 11.1 versus an industry average of 27.2, and its DCF‑derived fair value of ~CNY 22.9 suggests a modest discount to current levels. With a dividend yield of 3.3% and a payout ratio under 50%, cash flow generation is solid, debt is low (debt‑to‑equity ~8%), and ROE stands near 14%, supporting the case for sustainable shareholder returns. Analyst price targets cluster around CNY 45‑47, implying upside potential if the stock can break through its current resistance near CNY 34.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support
  • Bearish MACD and decreasing volume
  • Oversold RSI may limit immediate upside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Attractive valuation relative to industry peers
  • Strong dividend yield and sustainable payout
  • Low leverage and solid cash‑flow generation

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Consistent earnings growth and ROE around 14%
  • Potential upside to analyst target prices (CNY 45‑47)
  • Stable business model across manufacturing, distribution, and aesthetics

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth4.20%
Profit Margin7.95%
P/E Ratio13.9
ROE13.80%
ROA6.48%
Debt/Equity8.28
P/B Ratio1.9
Op. Cash FlowCN¥4.2B
Free Cash FlowCN¥2.4B
Industry P/E27.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI18.4
SupportCN¥27.80
ResistanceCN¥34.10
MA 20CN¥30.30
MA 50CN¥33.00
MA 200CN¥38.44
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.98

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥22.91
Target PriceCN¥47.12
Upside/Downside69.24%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.30%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.11
Volatility23.87%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.