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000960:SZSEYunnan Tin Company Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time

CN¥35.15

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Yunnan Tin trades at CNY 35.15, which sits below its 20‑day (CNY 39.47) and 50‑day (CNY 37.65) simple moving averages, indicating short‑term weakness, while still above the long‑term 200‑day SMA (CNY 24.56). The stock is priced above its discounted cash‑flow fair value of CNY 29.65, implying an overvaluation of roughly 20 % and a negative upside/downside projection of –28 %. Technical momentum is bearish, with the MACD line under the signal line and a histogram in negative territory, and the RSI at 41 suggests no immediate overbought condition. Volatility is high at 83 % over the past 30 days, though beta is low (≈0.23), indicating the price swings are largely company‑specific. Support at CNY 34.06 and resistance near CNY 48.80 frame a narrow trading range that could test the downside if bearish pressure persists.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below short‑term SMAs
  • Bearish MACD divergence
  • High short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth (27.6 %)
  • Sustainable dividend yield (0.84 %) with low payout
  • Current overvaluation relative to DCF

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term demand for tin and other base metals
  • Solid cash flow generation and low debt‑to‑equity
  • Low systematic risk (beta ~0.23) and dividend stability

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth27.60%
Profit Margin4.04%
P/E Ratio31.4
ROE9.24%
ROA4.51%
Debt/Equity39.33
P/B Ratio2.9
Op. Cash FlowCN¥4.1B
Free Cash FlowCN¥1.5B

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI41.5
SupportCN¥34.06
ResistanceCN¥48.80
MA 20CN¥39.47
MA 50CN¥37.65
MA 200CN¥24.56
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index80.66

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥29.65
Target PriceCN¥25.30
Upside/Downside-28.04%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.84%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.23
Volatility82.98%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.