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000883:SZSEHubei Energy Group Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-29 - not real-time

CN¥5.33

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Hubei Energy Group is trading at CNY 5.33, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA (4.99) and 50‑day SMA (4.89) while still above the 200‑day SMA (4.71), indicating a sustained bullish bias. Technicals are supportive – RSI sits at 67, MACD line (0.093) is above its signal (0.061) and the histogram is positive, and price is holding above the nearest support of 4.71 with a modest upside potential of about 5.7% before hitting the 52‑week high resistance at 5.43. Fundamentally, the stock trades at a forward PE of 12.1 versus a trailing PE of 17.8, both below the industry average PE of 21.6, and its price‑to‑book is near parity (0.99). The dividend yield of 1.93% with a 33% payout ratio appears sustainable given solid operating cash flow, though free cash flow is negative and debt‑to‑equity is extremely high at 96.8, flagging balance‑sheet pressure.
The market sentiment is extremely bullish (Fear‑Greed Index 94) and beta is low at 0.27, suggesting limited systematic risk, but 30‑day volatility of 31.7% and the heavy leverage elevate company‑specific risk. Overall, the stock presents a blend of growth and value characteristics, with modest near‑term upside, decent dividend income, but notable financial risk that warrants a cautious stance.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technical indicators (SMA alignment, MACD, RSI)
  • Limited upside to resistance at 5.43
  • High leverage and negative free cash flow

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Attractive forward PE relative to industry
  • Stable dividend yield with moderate payout ratio
  • Renewable‑energy exposure supporting earnings growth

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term sector tailwinds for renewable utilities
  • Persistently high debt‑to‑equity ratio
  • Consistent dividend policy but cash‑flow constraints

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth5.00%
Profit Margin11.65%
P/E Ratio17.8
ROE5.15%
ROA2.01%
Debt/Equity96.83
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash FlowCN¥5.8B
Free Cash FlowCN¥-1186464640
Industry P/E21.6

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI67.4
SupportCN¥4.71
ResistanceCN¥5.43
MA 20CN¥4.99
MA 50CN¥4.89
MA 200CN¥4.71
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.07

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥3.78
Target PriceCN¥5.64
Upside/Downside5.72%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.93%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.27
Volatility31.65%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.