000876:SZSENew Hope Liuhe Co.,Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-07 - not real-time
CN¥8.87
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
New Hope Liuhe is trading below its longer‑term moving averages, signaling a bearish technical backdrop, while the MACD has just turned bullish and the RSI hovers around the neutral zone, suggesting limited upside momentum at present.
Fundamentally, the company carries a very high debt‑to‑equity profile, modest revenue growth, and thin profit margins, yet it maintains a low payout dividend that appears sustainable given its cash flow. The stock’s valuation metrics are stretched relative to peers, and volatility has been elevated, although beta remains low, indicating limited market‑wide price swings. Overall, the mix of weak fundamentals, high leverage, and a bearish technical stance points to a cautious outlook.
Fundamentally, the company carries a very high debt‑to‑equity profile, modest revenue growth, and thin profit margins, yet it maintains a low payout dividend that appears sustainable given its cash flow. The stock’s valuation metrics are stretched relative to peers, and volatility has been elevated, although beta remains low, indicating limited market‑wide price swings. Overall, the mix of weak fundamentals, high leverage, and a bearish technical stance points to a cautious outlook.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- price near technical support
- high valuation relative to earnings
- elevated leverage
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- stable volume and low beta supporting price stability
- persistent debt burden limiting upside
- modest revenue growth not enough to justify premium
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- structural demand for protein products
- ongoing risk from high debt and thin margins
- potential for dividend continuity if cash flow remains steady
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth4.50%
Profit Margin1.02%
P/E Ratio40.3
ROE3.25%
ROA1.55%
Debt/Equity169.38
P/B Ratio2.1
Op. Cash FlowCN¥8.7B
Free Cash FlowCN¥1.2B
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI54.9
SupportCN¥8.56
ResistanceCN¥9.20
MA 20CN¥8.71
MA 50CN¥8.92
MA 200CN¥9.50
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index68.77
Valuation
Target PriceCN¥8.70
Upside/Downside-1.92%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield0.27%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.12
Volatility20.01%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.