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000858:SSEWuliangye Yibin Co.,Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-11 - not real-time

CN¥79.79

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Wuliangye Yibin is trading well below its short‑term moving averages, with momentum indicators pointing to oversold conditions and a nascent bullish reversal. The Relative Strength Index signals a deep oversold market, while the MACD histogram has turned positive, suggesting early buying pressure despite a broader bearish trend.
Fundamentally, the company delivers strong revenue growth, high profit margins and a premium brand position that supports resilient demand, yet the dividend payout exceeds earnings, raising sustainability questions. The discounted cash‑flow model implies a substantial upside potential, and the stock’s low beta indicates limited systematic risk, though recent price swings have lifted short‑term volatility.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • RSI in oversold territory suggesting a rebound
  • MACD histogram turning positive
  • Support level near current price

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Significant upside indicated by DCF valuation
  • Robust revenue growth and premium brand positioning
  • Attractive dividend yield despite sustainability concerns

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Strong market share in the premium baijiu segment
  • Consistently high profit margins and cash generation
  • Defensive consumer sector with low beta

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth33.70%
Profit Margin27.23%
P/E Ratio24.6
ROE9.21%
ROA4.37%
Debt/Equity0.34
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash FlowCN¥11.3B
Free Cash FlowCN¥18.3B

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI25.6
SupportCN¥77.65
ResistanceCN¥88.08
MA 20CN¥82.97
MA 50CN¥92.89
MA 200CN¥109.02
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index85.45

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥200.46
Target PriceCN¥99.67
Upside/Downside24.92%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield7.26%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.14
Volatility23.94%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.