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000858:SSEWuliangye Yibin Co.,Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-23 - not real-time

CN¥71.19

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Wuliangye Yibin Co.,Ltd. trades at ¥71.19, with its moving averages tangled rather than clearly stacked — a neutral trend structure. Over a rolling month the price has lost 3.4%. Relative strength is 36.0 — approaching oversold — and the MACD signal is bearish. Watch ¥71.11 as support and ¥78.84 as the nearer resistance level.
Valuation screens as fair, on a P/E of 21.9 with no clean sector comparison available. Analyst price targets sit 32.0% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 33.7% on a 27.2% profit margin. The 7.24% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
The composite risk read is 5/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 30.3%, a beta of 0.09 and a maximum drawdown of 45.4%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is hold while the long-term read is buy, conviction 4 out of 10.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 1/10

Key Factors

  • Trading below the 200-day average of 96.65
  • MACD momentum is negative
  • Maximum drawdown of 45.4%

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • Dividend yield of 7.24% looks stretched against payout coverage
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 96.65
  • Analyst targets imply +32.0% versus the current price

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Dividend yield of 7.24% looks stretched against payout coverage
  • Analyst targets imply +32.0% versus the current price
  • Profit margin of 27.2% is healthy

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth33.70%
Profit Margin27.23%
P/E Ratio21.9
ROE9.21%
ROA4.37%
Debt/Equity0.34
P/B Ratio2.2
Op. Cash FlowCN¥11.3B
Free Cash FlowCN¥18.3B

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI36.0
SupportCN¥71.11
ResistanceCN¥78.84
MA 20CN¥74.80
MA 50CN¥74.68
MA 200CN¥96.65
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.41

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥196.39
Target PriceCN¥94.01
Upside/Downside32.05%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield7.24%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.09
Volatility30.30%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.