000858:SSEWuliangye Yibin Co.,Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-11 - not real-time
CN¥79.79
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Wuliangye Yibin is trading well below its short‑term moving averages, with momentum indicators pointing to oversold conditions and a nascent bullish reversal. The Relative Strength Index signals a deep oversold market, while the MACD histogram has turned positive, suggesting early buying pressure despite a broader bearish trend.
Fundamentally, the company delivers strong revenue growth, high profit margins and a premium brand position that supports resilient demand, yet the dividend payout exceeds earnings, raising sustainability questions. The discounted cash‑flow model implies a substantial upside potential, and the stock’s low beta indicates limited systematic risk, though recent price swings have lifted short‑term volatility.
Fundamentally, the company delivers strong revenue growth, high profit margins and a premium brand position that supports resilient demand, yet the dividend payout exceeds earnings, raising sustainability questions. The discounted cash‑flow model implies a substantial upside potential, and the stock’s low beta indicates limited systematic risk, though recent price swings have lifted short‑term volatility.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- RSI in oversold territory suggesting a rebound
- MACD histogram turning positive
- Support level near current price
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Significant upside indicated by DCF valuation
- Robust revenue growth and premium brand positioning
- Attractive dividend yield despite sustainability concerns
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Strong market share in the premium baijiu segment
- Consistently high profit margins and cash generation
- Defensive consumer sector with low beta
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth33.70%
Profit Margin27.23%
P/E Ratio24.6
ROE9.21%
ROA4.37%
Debt/Equity0.34
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash FlowCN¥11.3B
Free Cash FlowCN¥18.3B
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI25.6
SupportCN¥77.65
ResistanceCN¥88.08
MA 20CN¥82.97
MA 50CN¥92.89
MA 200CN¥109.02
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index85.45
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥200.46
Target PriceCN¥99.67
Upside/Downside24.92%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield7.26%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.14
Volatility23.94%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.