000858:SSEWuliangye Yibin Co.,Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-23 - not real-time
CN¥71.19
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Wuliangye Yibin Co.,Ltd. trades at ¥71.19, with its moving averages tangled rather than clearly stacked — a neutral trend structure. Over a rolling month the price has lost 3.4%. Relative strength is 36.0 — approaching oversold — and the MACD signal is bearish. Watch ¥71.11 as support and ¥78.84 as the nearer resistance level.
Valuation screens as fair, on a P/E of 21.9 with no clean sector comparison available. Analyst price targets sit 32.0% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 33.7% on a 27.2% profit margin. The 7.24% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
The composite risk read is 5/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 30.3%, a beta of 0.09 and a maximum drawdown of 45.4%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is hold while the long-term read is buy, conviction 4 out of 10.
Valuation screens as fair, on a P/E of 21.9 with no clean sector comparison available. Analyst price targets sit 32.0% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 33.7% on a 27.2% profit margin. The 7.24% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
The composite risk read is 5/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 30.3%, a beta of 0.09 and a maximum drawdown of 45.4%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is hold while the long-term read is buy, conviction 4 out of 10.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 1/10
Key Factors
- Trading below the 200-day average of 96.65
- MACD momentum is negative
- Maximum drawdown of 45.4%
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Dividend yield of 7.24% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Trading below the 200-day average of 96.65
- Analyst targets imply +32.0% versus the current price
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Dividend yield of 7.24% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Analyst targets imply +32.0% versus the current price
- Profit margin of 27.2% is healthy
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth33.70%
Profit Margin27.23%
P/E Ratio21.9
ROE9.21%
ROA4.37%
Debt/Equity0.34
P/B Ratio2.2
Op. Cash FlowCN¥11.3B
Free Cash FlowCN¥18.3B
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI36.0
SupportCN¥71.11
ResistanceCN¥78.84
MA 20CN¥74.80
MA 50CN¥74.68
MA 200CN¥96.65
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.41
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥196.39
Target PriceCN¥94.01
Upside/Downside32.05%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield7.24%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.09
Volatility30.30%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.