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000858:SSEWuliangye Yibin Co.,Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-14 - not real-time

CN¥102.95

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Price action has slipped below its short‑term and long‑term moving averages, placing the stock in a bearish technical zone with support near the recent low and resistance still above current levels. The RSI sits in the mid‑40s, suggesting limited upside momentum, while the MACD histogram has turned marginally positive, hinting at a tentative bullish undercurrent. Volume has been on a downtrend and 30‑day volatility is elevated, yet the beta is exceptionally low, indicating minimal correlation with broader market swings.
Fundamental backdrop remains robust: the company enjoys high gross and profit margins, a strong return on equity, abundant cash reserves, and modest debt. The dividend yield is attractive and the payout, though high, is backed by ample liquidity. A discounted cash‑flow model points to a substantial upside potential, and consensus analyst sentiment is bullish, reinforcing a value‑oriented investment case.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price hovering near technical support
  • bearish trend across moving averages
  • high dividend yield providing cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • DCF‑derived upside potential
  • strong cash generation and low leverage
  • attractive dividend relative to peers

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • significant undervaluation versus intrinsic value
  • stable demand in consumer‑defensive beverage segment
  • minimal systematic risk reflected by low beta

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-52.70%
Profit Margin34.59%
P/E Ratio14.0
ROE20.66%
ROA12.80%
Debt/Equity0.34
P/B Ratio2.8
Op. Cash FlowCN¥32.4B
Free Cash FlowCN¥28.1B

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI45.2
SupportCN¥100.75
ResistanceCN¥109.73
MA 20CN¥103.87
MA 50CN¥105.42
MA 200CN¥117.58
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥133.34
Target PriceCN¥134.13
Upside/Downside30.29%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.58%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.09
Volatility35.33%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.